Don here...
While everyone was drowning in Fed commentary yesterday, Corey did something remarkable.
He wrote down two numbers. 6615 and 6713.
Those came within a hair’s breath of the exact low and high of the day.
I actually think saying his call was “close” does it a disservice. That’s how dead-on he was.
In today's live session replay, you'll see the complete breakdown of how quantitative analysis destroys endless speculation every single time.
The Expected Move Method That Silences the Noise
The futures market was pricing Fed uncertainty into every tick. Talking heads spent hours debating what Powell might say and how markets would react.
Corey took a different approach. He calculated what the market itself was telling us about volatility. The expected move methodology uses closing values and option pricing to determine precise upper and lower bounds for the next day's action.
While analysts used 5,000 words to explain their Fed predictions, Corey used 50 words to give you the exact turning points. The market hit 6615 at the low and 6718 at the high. His targets were 6615 and 6713.
That's the difference between quantitative analysis and opinion-based forecasting.
The Trend Following Model That Never Gets Emotional
The session revealed why Corey shifted from his recent bearish stance. When retail sales collapsed and geopolitical tensions flared, he went short. When the market reversed and started making higher highs and higher lows, he switched back to bullish.
This isn't about being right or wrong. It's about following the mathematical model. Higher highs, higher lows, price above the 20 exponential moving average, which sits above the 50, which sits above the 200. That's the quantitative definition of an uptrend.
You'll see exactly how he manages the psychological pressure of changing directions. Most traders get married to their opinions. Professional traders marry the model and divorce their emotions.
Live Scalping Profits From Expected Move Reversals
The futures room executed multiple winning trades using an expected move methodology. When the market hit the lower expected move, they went long off support. When it reached the upper expected move, they played the reversal short.
These weren't lucky guesses. The expected move creates a standalone trading system. It tells you where the market wants to go, and more importantly, where it's likely to reverse.
You'll watch the complete thought process from calculation through execution. No hindsight analysis. Just real-time decision making based on mathematical probability.
[→ Watch Corey's complete expected move breakdown here]
To your success,
Don Kaufman
Chief Market Strategist, TheoTrade
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