Folks, I don't mean to be overly dramatic... But the narratives driving the market are rapidly changing again.
This Ever-Changing Market Demands an Active Approach
By Marc Chaikin, founder, Chaikin Analytics
Folks, I don't mean to be overly dramatic...
But the narratives driving the market are rapidly changing again.
I recently alerted Chaikin PowerFeed readers to a massive shift in the markets. And now, it's playing out in real time...
Investors finally got some relief from the relentless stock market decline of 2022.
Through August 16, the S&P 500 Index rallied about 17% off its mid-June bottom. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index gained roughly 23% over a similar span.
But the thing is, we technically never escaped "correction" territory. And we just got further proof of the ever-changing times we're living in...
The S&P 500 is down more than 7% over the past two weeks. It remains nearly 17% below its all-time high in early January.
Meanwhile, the Nasdaq is down more than 9% since August 15. And it's still around 26% below its peak from last November.
Of course, regardless of what's happening in the broader market, investors can almost always find attractive opportunities in some areas even as others languish.
Marc Chaikin just released brand-new details on his "best of the best" industry stocks - little-known opportunities poised to potentially return gains of three to five times while most stocks continue crashing. At least today, you can get the name and ticker of one of these stocks, 100% free. Plus, you'll learn Marc's No. 1 stock to SELL immediately - before it goes bankrupt. Click here for details before todays's opening bell.
Dr. David Eifrig recently stepped forward with the biggest announcement of his career. It all centers around a wave of money flooding Wall Street, even as stocks crash. He says this misunderstood corner of the market could ravage the wealth of those who aren't prepared. Get the Retirement Shock story here.
In short, we're living in a "stock picker's market."
It's a lot different from the past 40 years. Investors had gotten used to persistent declines in interest rates causing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios to rise across the board.
That era is now over...
For stocks to rise from here, companies will need to truly grow their earnings. Or we'll need to find company-specific reasons to justify investing in companies with higher P/E ratios.
That's what I mean when I talk about a stock picker's market...
Stocks will move up or down mainly based on company merit. If we misjudge anything, we can't count on the Federal Reserve's generosity to hand us good equity returns anyway.
And based on the rhetoric coming out of the Fed, we can't expect any generosity...
Fighting inflation remains the central bank's top priority. It seems willing to drive interest rates as high as needed to achieve that goal, even if it results in a prolonged recession.
If it raises rates on a Wednesday, we can't expect inflation to fall on Thursday. It can take a year or longer to see real results across the U.S. economy.
However, the Fed wants to solve inflation now.
If it feels like its efforts aren't working to slow inflation, it could raise rates too far, too fast. And that could lead to a lengthy recession.
So don't go running headlong back into all stocks just yet...
As we've seen again over the past couple of weeks, a lot of uncertainty, risk, and volatility remain in the market. And to build long-term wealth, it's just as important for you to avoid getting trapped in any bad investments as it is to find winning ones.
Stay vigilant in the coming weeks. Rallies like the one that happened from mid-June through earlier this month can be incredibly painful for investors who take a wrong step.
Fortunately, we have the Power Gauge at our side...
The Power Gauge points to the most opportune sectors, subsectors, and individual stocks. And from there, it takes an active approach to get our investing decisions right.
In other words, the Power Gauge is the perfect partner as the market processes its next phase.
Good investing,
Marc Chaikin
P.S. The shift has just begun. With the Power Gauge's help, we can see it in a way most everyday investors can't.
And it's important that you don't wait another second to take advantage. That's why I rushed to record a critical market update from my home in Connecticut...
An extraordinary market phenomenon that hasn't happened in years is now underway. It could be just the beginning of a massive opportunity in a very special group of U.S. stocks – with the potential for multiple 300% to 500% winners before the dust settles.
But fair warning... if you ignore what's coming next, it could also have disastrous and long-lasting implications for your wealth. Watch my urgent update right here.
Market View
Major Indexes and Notable Sectors
# Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish
Dow 30
-0.95%
0
24
6
S&P 500
-1.05%
76
300
121
Nasdaq
-1.11%
13
59
28
Small Caps
-1.36%
387
1002
461
Bonds
+0.25%
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks are somewhat Bearish. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
EPAM
+2.09%
PAYC
+1.74%
BBY
+1.62%
PPG
+1.46%
RL
+1.42%
Losers
CF
-6.48%
FCX
-5.52%
MOS
-4.97%
APA
-4.93%
HAL
-4.86%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Reporting Today
Rating
Before Open
After Close
BF.B
SCHW
COST
COO
No earnings reporting today.
Earnings Surprises
CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
Q2
$0.36
Beat by $0.09
BBY Best Buy Co., Inc.
Q2
$1.54
Beat by $0.25
HPQ HP Inc.
Q3
$1.04
Beat by $0.01
HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
Q3
$0.48
Met estimate
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Energy
-1.13%
Utilities
-1.77%
Financial
-2.20%
Communication
-2.36%
Real Estate
-2.53%
Health Care
-2.93%
Materials
-2.96%
Staples
-2.96%
Industrials
-3.52%
Discretionary
-3.84%
Information Technology
-4.88%
* * * *
Industry Focus
NYSE Technology Services
2
21
12
Over the past 6 months, the NYSE Technology subsector (XNTK) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -13.52%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Very Weak, with more Bearish than Bullish stocks. It is currently ranked #18 of 21 subsectors.
Indicative Stocks
RBLX
Roblox Corporation
SNAP
Snap Inc.
SHOP
Shopify Inc.
* * * *
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This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.
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