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Debt Spiral Triggers Calls for Fed Pivot: What it Means for the Economy

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,

Today I am doing a quick lesson on the fed.

The term "Fed pivot" typically refers to a shift in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance. This could involve a change in interest rates, the pace of asset purchases, or the overall direction of policy.

It is unclear whether or not the Fed will pivot this year, as it depends on the economic conditions and the actions of the Fed's policymakers.

The Fed's monetary policy decisions are based on a variety of economic data and indicators, and any change in policy would likely be the result of a careful consideration of these factors.

According to Danielle DiMartino Booth, she believes that the Fed will pivot because of the 175 billion dollar debt spiral. 



 

This pivot could create more inflation because of increased money supply.

There are several reasons why inflation can go up, some of the most common include:

Demand-pull inflation: This occurs when there is strong demand for goods and services that exceeds the available supply, causing prices to increase.

Cost-push inflation: This occurs when the cost of production increases, for example due to higher wages, raw materials costs or taxes, which results in higher prices for consumers.

Built-in inflation: This refers to the expectation that prices will continue to rise in the future, which can lead companies and workers to demand higher wages and prices today, creating a self-fulfilling cycle of inflation.

It's worth noting that these factors can interact and amplify each other, and also that there are other factors that could contribute to inflation, like supply chain disruptions, geopolitical events, and monetary policy decisions from central banks.

IF they pivot that will increase money supply. Which hase the following effects.

Increased spending: When the money supply increases, people have more money to spend which can lead to an increase in demand for goods and services. This can push prices higher if the supply of goods and services is not able to keep up with the increased demand.

Currency devaluation: When the money supply increases, it can lead to a decrease in the value of the currency, which can result in higher prices for imported goods, and also can reduce the purchasing power of consumers.
Expectations of future inflation: When the money supply increases, it can lead to expectations of future inflation, which can prompt businesses and individuals to increase prices and wages in anticipation of higher prices in the future. This can create a self-fulfilling cycle of rising prices.

It is worth noting that these factors do not always lead to inflation, it depends on the context and the overall economic conditions.

Central Banks like Federal Reserve take into account multiple factors when making decisions on monetary policy, including inflation.

Best regards,

Casey Stubbs



 

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