Our original essay focused on popular companies that attract investors, like Tesla (TSLA).
We discussed how Tesla founder Elon Musk is changing the way we get around. He sells electric cars at doable prices to the masses. And like it or not, he's succeeding.
It's a great story. But as we discussed, you can love the story and still hate the stock.
Tesla isn't a good stock to own right now. It's too expensive. And it's in a big downtrend.
As you'll see today, the opposite is also true...
You can hate the story and still love the stock.
One historically unpopular company in particular is in a "disagreeable" business. Heck, its methods of profiting might even disgust you.
But as I'll explain, that's exactly what makes it investable. And even better, the Power Gauge is flashing "green" on a couple key factors for this company right now...
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I'm talking about the GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) – a for-profit prison enterprise.
To reiterate investing legend Peter Lynch's term, GEO's business model is "disagreeable." For better or worse, the company makes billions of dollars from people who've been put behind bars.
In the end, GEO isn't exactly saving humanity or revolutionizing the world...
That's what makes it far less sexy than the Teslas of the world. And it's why most investors don't pay attention to it.
But by focusing on a company's technicals and fundamentals, we can pinpoint good opportunities even within "hated stories." That's where the Power Gauge comes in...
Regular PowerFeed readers know all about our one-of-a-kind system. It weighs 20 different factors to help us figure out whether a stock is great or not.
Now, the Power Gauge currently ranks GEO as "neutral" overall. That isn't great. But when we drill down, we see a lot of things to like about the stock right now...
For example, its projected price-to-earnings ratio is "very bullish." That makes sense...
Favorable valuations and unpopular businesses often go hand in hand. If most investors are ignoring a stock, it's often cheap to own. This dynamic creates opportunities in the market.
In addition, the earnings surprise factor in the Earnings category and the earnings estimate trend factor in the Experts category are both "bullish" today. That's important because it tells us that Wall Street is starting to focus on the stock rather than the company.
In other words, analysts realize that... you can hate the story and still love the stock.
And it gets better...
The following chart shows GEO's performance over the past year. I want you to focus on the two lower panels – Chaikin Money Flow and relative strength versus the S&P 500 Index...
The Chaikin Money Flow indicator signals that the so-called "smart money" is flowing into this stock. And you can see that it has been firmly in the green since November.
Meanwhile, GEO has outperformed significantly since last May. The stock is up an incredible 70% over the past eight months. And the S&P 500 is down about 3% in that span.
This type of outperformance is great to see. It tells us that the trend is in our favor.
GEO isn't a sexy stock. And yet, when we look at the whole picture, it's clear why Wall Street is focusing more on the stock than the company's "disagreeable" story.
The Power Gauge helps us see that. And in the end, it's important to remember...
You can hate the story and still love the stock. That's the case with GEO today.
Good investing,
Marc Gerstein
Market View
Major Indexes and Notable Sectors
# Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish
Dow 30
-1.82%
10
15
5
S&P 500
-1.55%
135
275
90
Nasdaq
-1.30%
32
50
19
Small Caps
-1.60%
520
1016
356
Bonds
+2.42%
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks are somewhat Bullish. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
JBHT
+4.95%
MRNA
+3.32%
STX
+3.04%
POOL
+1.60%
QCOM
+1.46%
Losers
KHC
-6.31%
PNC
-6.04%
KMX
-5.98%
ZION
-5.11%
MKC
-4.85%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Reporting Today
Rating
Before Open
After Close
NTRS, TFC
NFLX
FITB, KEY, MTB, PG
PPG
CMA
No earnings reporting today.
Earnings Surprises
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.
Q4
$1.92
Missed by $-0.52
PLD Prologis, Inc.
Q4
$0.63
Beat by $0.09
KMI Kinder Morgan, Inc.
Q4
$0.25
Missed by $-0.04
PNC The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.
Q4
$3.49
Missed by $-0.47
SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation
Q4
$1.07
Missed by $-0.02
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Energy
+0.41%
Information Technology
+0.18%
Discretionary
-0.14%
Communication
-0.74%
Real Estate
-0.99%
Materials
-1.43%
Financial
-1.59%
Health Care
-1.74%
Industrials
-2.26%
Staples
-2.97%
Utilities
-3.55%
* * * *
Industry Focus
Bank Services
21
68
9
Over the past 6 months, the Bank subsector (KBE) has outperformed the S&P 500 by +0.92%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #9 of 21 subsectors and has moved down 3 slots over the past week.
Top Stocks
JXN
Jackson Financial In
NMIH
NMI Holdings, Inc.
AX
Axos Financial, Inc.
* * * *
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