The Great Value Decline
Last year was the worst year for the S&P 500 since the Great Recession of 2008.
Rising inflation, soaring interest rates and fears of another recession led the index to shed 20% in 2022.
Here are the largest companies on the S&P 500 at the end of 2021:
(Click here to view larger image.)
As you can see, Apple, Microsoft and Amazon were the big leaders with a combined market cap of more than $7 trillion.
Now, let’s look at how things shook out after 2022:
(Click here to view larger image.)
The top three all had massive declines. Apple lost almost $900 billion, while Microsoft lost close to $800 billion.
But I want to focus on who fell off the list.
The biggest loser was Tesla Inc. (Nasdaq: TSLA), which lost $674.6 billion, or 63.4% of its market cap in 2022.
The crash erased $620.1 billion, or 66.3%, from Meta Platforms Inc.’s (Nasdaq: META) value.
And Nvidia Corp. (Nasdaq: NVDA) lost $375.6 billion, or 51%!
To put a finer point on this, consider:
- Because it’s the largest stock in the index, Apple’s negative 26.4% total return in 2022 dragged the entire S&P 500 down 2%.
- Tesla’s 65% drop tacked on another 1.8% decline for the index.
- Amazon, Microsoft and Meta each pulled the index down more than 1%.
- Those five stocks alone made up 8% of the S&P’s 20% drop last year.
Is the worst of the carnage behind us, or do we need to prepare for more pain ahead?
What’s Coming Next in 2023 — and How You Can Capitalize
Chief Investment Strategist Adam O’Dell and I don’t think this bear market is over.
We’re going to see more declines this year.
How low will these tickers go? It’s difficult to say, but January’s stock market rally has “fake out” written all over it.
Adam and I aren’t big on market forecasting like that anyways. But the numbers don’t add up.
And it all comes down to one word: valuations.
After years of euphoria boosting Big Tech names, these stocks are coming back down to Earth.
They simply aren’t making enough money to support their elevated stock valuations.
Just look at some of these metrics:
- Apple’s price-to-book value is 42.7 compared to its industry average of 2.32.
- Tesla’s price-to-earnings ratio is 53.7 compared to the industry average of 16.9.
- Nvidia’s price-to-cash flow ratio is 71.4 … its industry average is 19.6.
And when growth is harder to achieve due to high interest rates and a mellowed-out economy, the bottom falls out.
Bottom line: These big players can make or break the broader market.
And earnings reports so far indicate a further breakdown ahead. Adam sees a “longer and lower” bear market ahead.
That doesn’t mean we have to sit on our hands and watch the value drain out of our portfolios.
Adam has developed the perfect way to capitalize on this trend with one stock, and he’s going to show you how you can turn the downfall into profits at 1 p.m. Eastern next Tuesday, February 14.
To be sure, this is a confusing time to be an investor.
Adam is a realist when it comes to investing, and that means making opportunistic trades in both bull and bear markets.
This strategy is designed to help you find profits, even when the market isn’t going up.
Click here to sign up for his free presentation before it airs next week.
Safe trading,
Matt Clark,
Chief Research Analyst, Money & Markets
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