Published By Banyan Hill Publishing | | | | Published By Banyan Hill Publishing | | | | Banyan Nation, Remember TINA? That was an acronym in play for most of the past 20 years that stood for “there is no alternative.” In just four letters, this summarized the frustration of investors around the world. By keeping interest rates suppressed, investors really had nowhere else to go but the stock market. Cash was trash. Money in the bank earned practically — and often literally — nothing. Bonds weren’t much better. The joke in financial circles was that the “risk-free return” you could normally depend on in bonds had become a “return-free risk.” Frankly, there’s a reason that stocks got so expensive in the run up to 2022. With nowhere else for investors to go, why not try your luck in the market? Well, TINA is dead. Fed Chair Powell killed her by raising interest rates to something a lot closer to the long-term normal. Today, you can earn more than 5% on a T-bill, a U.S. government security with less than a year to maturity. And for the first time in my professional career, I’m seeing some fantastic yields in the corporate bond space. If you’re willing to buy bonds with four to five years to maturity and willing to do a little homework, you can put together a bond portfolio returning close to the long-term average for the stock market … and with a fraction of the risk. Here’s where it gets interesting. Stocks are priced with a risk premium. In plain English, that means if I can earn 5% in T-bills taking absolutely no risk, then I need to expect a much higher return than that to justify the higher risks involved with buying stocks. If I can’t expect a substantial premium over the T-bill return … then what’s the point? This is why stocks have really struggled to find a bottom of late. Your return in a stock is ultimately dependent on the price you pay. The higher the price you pay up front, the lower your return. What we’re seeing is the stock market adjusting to the reality of interest rates that will be higher for longer. So … what do we do about it? We invest, of course. But we do so selectively, choosing only the best companies with the longest runways for growth — in other words, those which present the most reasonable risk premium. Ian’s biggest theme this year is deglobalization, and how the decoupling of the American and Chinese economies is helping to fuel a major new “arms race” in high-end semiconductors. This is one of the great investment trends of our lifetimes. You can, and should, learn everything you can about it here… And on that note, let’s see what the rest of the team was up to this week. | | | The United States has made its statement: to control global microchip trade. And the economic forces converging to power this mission could mint some of history’s greatest fortunes — including one stock that could soar 1,000% within five years. Click here now for the full details. | | | - China’s Taiwan Threats Don’t Bother the U.S.
For this week’s Banyan Edge Podcast, I sat down with our top tech expert Ian King on the rift that’s quickly forming between the U.S. and China. Join as we cover surveillance balloons, grappling over Taiwan and the tech at the center of all the conflict… - 3 Ways Semiconductor Chips Will Create a Market Boom
Ian King says the U.S. and China are in the early stages of a high-tech cold war centered around high-performance hardware. This is a winner-take-all game with no prize for second place. Where will you place your bets? - Why Tesla’s EV Batteries and Clean Energy Aren’t So Clean
To make a battery for an electric vehicle, you need to dig up 500,000 pounds of dirt … using a truck that drinks 235,000 gallons of diesel fuel each year, burning more fuel than 423 passenger cars. Long story short, fossil fuels aren’t going anywhere anytime soon, and Charles Mizrahi has the dead-simple investment solution. - China’s “Peace Plan” With Ukraine Threatens Taiwan
China’s proposal for peace in Ukraine is a Trojan Horse that opens up the very real possibility of a hot war between America and China as soon as 2025. On Thursday, Mike Carr walked you through how it could all play out… - When 3 Mega Trends Converge
Adam O’Dell’s bread and butter is when stock fundamentals converge through his Stock Power Ratings system. On Friday, Adam took a look at a recent success story using this system, which also happens to coincide with Ian King’s more macro-focused Fourth Convergence… Be sure to tune into The Banyan Edge Podcast on Monday. Ian King and Amber Lancaster will be joining me to continue our chat about “firing China” and the opportunities this creates. This is the single biggest macro them of the next decade, so you’re definitely want to hear what Ian and Amber have to say! Until then, Charles Sizemore Chief Editor, The Banyan Edge P.S. Are you enjoying The Banyan Edge? We’d love to get your take on our research, and we always love answering questions. So, if you have any questions, feedback, or just want to leave us a note … please send an email to BanyanEdge@BanyanHill.com. | | | Ian King was thrust into the limelight for turning $350,000 into over $6 million during the worst 19-month stretch of the 2008 financial crisis. Since then, he has identified virtually every major turn of the market — including the three biggest booms of this century. Now, the forces which lit the fuse for those events are converging for an even more epic fourth time. Click here for full details… | | | (c) 2023 Banyan Hill Publishing. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This Newsletter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, (electronic or otherwise) in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Banyan Hill Publishing. P.O. Box 8378, Delray Beach, FL 33482. (TEL: 866-584-4096) Legal Notice
The mailbox associated with this email address is not monitored, so please do not reply.
Your feedback is very important to us so if you would like to contact us with a question or comment, please click here: http://banyanhill.com/contact-us
Remove your email from this list: Click here to Unsubscribe | | | |
Post a Comment
Post a Comment