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S&P Breaches Its 20 Day Moving Average.

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AUG 7 2023
 
   
GUY COHEN’S TRADE RADAR
Is The 50 Day Moving Average Next?
 
 
 

Last week I said that Thursdays’ bearish monorail (a.k.a. “bearish engulfing”) bar made an imminent pullback more likely, and so it has proved.

I had also mentioned over the previous couple of weeks that volatility was likely to increase, and that also happened.

It’s important to ignore the “noise” you see in the news, or what you read in forums or chat rooms. When you learn to interpret what you’re seeing instead, your edge in the market becomes unbelievable.

Watch today’s video to see how I’m interpreting the charts and what I see coming next…

 
Follow the money,

— Guy Cohen

 
GUEST POST: JACK CARTER
Taking The Opposite Side (Again)
 

I’ve been taking the “opposite” side ever since I lost my bus fair home for the holidays back in the days.

If you haven’t heard the story, I was on my own living far from my hometown of Gary, Indiana and working as a stock broker.

I wanted to come home looking like a Wall Street big shot, so I went half-and-half on an option with a buddy of mine.

And that option went all the way down to nothing… and so did my hopes of going back to Indiana for the holidays.

Ever since then, I’ve been taking the opposite approach of most stock market experts — by teaching people that selling options is where it’s at.

The odds are 100x or more in your favor as an options seller.

Now over 30 years later, I’m taking the opposite side again.

Because even though I’ve been selling options since Reagan was in office, my team recently showed me a data pool that changed my mind about buying options.

But only in very specific circumstances.

Remember, I lost my shirt (and then some) buying options. So I’m NOT into gambling.

So then, what is this “opposite” side I’m taking this time?

Well, I am buying options. But to give you the full story, I need you to understand something.

It starts off with Income Calendar strategy.

When we launched that, it was (and still is) based on a data pool that gave us a highly-vetted lists of stocks. These stocks had gone up on the same exact date every single year for at least 10 years straight.

A track record like that is about as close to a “sure thing” as you can get in the market.

So being an income trader, I did what an income trader does:

I knew that if these stocks had 10 years of trending data on those specific days…

The logical thing to do would be to collect premium from traders who were betting against these stocks on those dates. Easy as pie.

And that has worked out for us like you wouldn’t believe. The wins have been incredibly consistent.

But I’m talking about opposites, remember?

So here were the steps that got me to the opposite side of that trade:

 
I knew that if I was making money collecting premium from people betting against these stocks
 
and I knew that if I had this 10 year track record showing they’re very likely going to lose that bet…
 
Why don’t I just place the opposite trade?

So instead of buying a put, like they are… what if I bought a call?

So my team went to work. They did a backtest of this scenario and the results were mind-blowing.

First of all, we had a greater than 60% chance of winning the trade. In the market, that’s better than some of the world’s biggest hedge funds.

But better than that… almost all the wins would have easily come in with triple digit gains.

I couldn’t believe my eyes.

We had just unlocked ANOTHER way to pull in profits from this incredible pool of data with the 10 year track record.

And unlike the income trades I was placing, the gains were shockingly out of proportion. Triple digit wins as an average

In any case, I was just live earlier today with Roger Scott to pull back the curtain on exactly how I’m doing this. Go here to check out the video.

Trade safe,

— Jack Carter

 
   
 

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