Chat Room I Hot Stock I Surprise ๐ |
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Hey Folks, as my Cowboys have a bye week I had some time to reflect on the 80s today… |
"I guess you guys aren't ready for that yet," Marty said to a stunned crowd of teenagers at a school dance after he'd riffed his guitar solo. "But your kids are gonna love it." |
I got to thinking (OK, maybe it was more like geeking, but can you blame me?!) about that old classic - Back to the Future - this morning after spotting news that a 1981 DeLorean was unearthed in a barn in Wisconsin. |
The car's older than the movie! |
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This is perhaps the best piece of product placement advertising we have ever seen. And DeLorean somehow managed to botch this and went into bankruptcy. |
What a shame. |
But because I am ALWAYS thinking about the markets, even when I'm geeking out about something else, I was also pondering the current bond market. |
I know the temptation to tune out when I talk about stuff like "bonds," but hang with me, because this is really important! |
With yields hitting 5.26% on Thursday, I wondered what bond prices were like back in 1981 and 1985 when the DeLorean and Marty McFly were in their heyday. |
You wouldn't believe what I found! |
In 1981, the 10-year Treasury yield was 13.92%! |
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The Fed funds rate for that year? |
16.39%! |
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In 1985, the numbers were a bit better. We're talking 10.62% on the 10-year with Fed rates at 8.10%. |
Nothing like some perspective! |
Still, today's yields – between 5.29% and 5.42% on the 10-year – and Fed Funds rates – at 5.25% to 5.50% – are a significant source of anxiety for investors and bondholders. |
After decades of free money, that's unsurprising. |
Markets are not taking kindly to this worry. |
That's not going to change anytime soon unless one thing happens… |
This is important to hear and understand – which is why I'm pounding the table on this point – so I'll say it again. |
The market will continue to trend lower until bonds reverse course. |
With all the fear in the world, will this happen? Absolutely. |
People pay me a lot of money to help them learn to identify short-term market trends. |
Here is a freebie you can take notes on right now, and then thank me for in a few weeks. |
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Combining my 20+ years of market experience with new AI technology is a potent combination. |
You won't catch me buying the market anytime soon, until we see a few things change in the chart above on the QQQ. |
I need to see several hours of prices back above the 20-hour moving average AND I want to see a cluster of "GO" signals. |
When I see that, my members will be the first to know… and I'll be pushing a LOT of chips back on the table. |
None of this will happen until we see a reversal in bond prices, however. That is what is driving the whole market right now. |
You see, I reckon bond buyers are actually making a bid that will position them for significant gains when things snap back – as they always do. What they're seeing is a Treasury yield wrongly forecasting inflation. Once the true inflation picture wins out, those bond buyers will make out like bandits. |
Look, I'm not saying rush out and buy bonds! (personally, I don't think we've seen the bottom yet) |
What I am saying is that we can expect markets to trend lower and stay choppy for a while yet. |
Does this mean we all have to endure more weeks of stock losses while we wait for the markets to turn higher? |
Well, not for me! And if you're smart, you won't have to either! |
I am actually having one of my best months of the year right now. |
Members of mine have been seeing every single trade I make along the way, and they have been learning an incredible amount about navigating in difficult times. |
How can you start fixing your sloppy trading right now? |
You can start by learning from a trading veteran who's been doing this for more than 20 years. (hint: That's me!) |
As usual, my Bullseye Trades strategy has been on ๐ฅ! |
This is my single, highest-conviction trade idea for the week ahead. |
Just this last week, I emailed members my trade-of-the-week gameplan for Nvidia (NVDA). |
I wrote… |
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For NVDA this week, I would like to see the stock bounce higher, so I can get a better price on the puts I want to buy. That might not happen, so I plan to start with a small position sometime today, and then wait for a bounce to near $460 to add to this position. |
If I'm wrong on this trade, I will stop out with a closing price above $470. |
If things go my way, I plan to look for a breakdown to around $435 as target #1 and then $420 as target #2 to profit. |
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Here's what happened next… |
 | Trading is hard, results not guaranteed and should not be expected to be replicated typically |
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If you saw NVDA this past week, you saw it nosedive. |
For investors who were not prepared for it, this was a devastating week of losses. |
For me and my Bullseye team, this was a huge week of opportunity! |
I personally made 100% overnight on my trade, and I played it too safe! |
This trade had the potential to make over 300% if I held it into the end of the week! |
What would a trade like that have done for your portfolio?! |
On Monday, I will share the details and my trade plan of the next Bullseye Trade of the Week. |
As you might guess, I am not betting on the markets to go higher. |
If you want my top idea for this week, you better hurry and get on this list right away. |
If you don't want to get in on this trade idea, that's ok too – I will be sure to brag about it next weekend though and you can see what happened then! ๐ |
Get on board right away, and you won't have to care if yields go "back to the future." |
Here's to YOUR success, |
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P.S. If you have any questions about how you can get added to my "Bullseye Trades" ๐ฏprogram, just call Jeff Brown @ 800-585-4488 or email (jbrown@ragingbull.com), and he would be happy to talk about any special offers, payment plans, and help you in any way possible. |
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