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SCOTT WELSH’S ANATOMY OF A GREAT TRADE Anatomy of a Great Trade: ROKU Every trader dreams of catching a big win on a hot, new, high-flying stock. There are several problems with that, of course. One is finding a hot, new company. Although it’s not as hard as we might think. Another is figuring out when to enter. And a huge problem is when to get out. Most monster wins are ruined by getting out too early or too late. But a system solves all that. And a long-term system solves it in a very non-frantic way. An example of this is ROKU. Back in 2020, everyone was staying home. Could we have possibly picked a stock that might benefit from that? How about a company that helps us watch TV? That seems smart. And ROKU was a reasonable pick. How do we get in? In July 2020, ROKU closed above its 30-week simple moving average (SMA) five weeks in a row. So, we could’ve entered there. How do we get out? In May 2021, ROKU closed below the SMA for the first time. We could have exited there. If we did that, how would we have done? We would’ve hypothetically had a big winner, entering at $148 and exiting at $309. And as you can see, that big winner could have possibly been even bigger. Using common sense and having a long-term system can lead to some great trades. ROKU showed us that. Happy trading, Scott P.S. As a reminder, these plays are based on my longer-term Weinstein Stage Analysis method. The charts above use weekly candles and a 30 week simple moving average. For details on this method, see my explanation on this Ask The Pros episode starting at timestamp 20:45. Additionally, the teal lines on the chart show the profitable runs. |
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ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. |
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