Note from Michael Salvatore, Editor, TradeSmith Daily: Recently, reports surfaced that OpenAI uncovered an A.I. breakthrough that researchers say has the potential to "threaten humanity."
That likely means one thing — artificial general intelligence or A.G.I. This is the level at which A.I. agents can complete any task a human can with greater efficiency.
But according to Luke Lango, editor and senior analyst of Early Stage Investor, A.G.I. is not necessarily something to fear. He's an "A.I. Optimist" — confident that this technology will only result in an expansion of wealth and a greater quality of life as it develops.
He shares his thoughts in an essay below, which he's agreed to let me share with TradeSmith Daily readers. Read on…
The Real Threat Behind a Brand-New AI Breakthrough
By Luke Lango, Senior Investment Analyst, Early Stage Investor
Source: shutterstock.com/Nadya C
Artificial intelligence (A.I.) has experienced a meteoric rise, sparking excitement for some and posing an existential threat for others.
Will A.I. usher in an era of unprecedented prosperity and abundance, or will it dominate society, rendering humans obsolete?
Currently, these questions are merely theoretical, suitable for discussion at dinner parties during the holiday season. After all, we will not know the actual answers for decades. True artificial general intelligence (A.G.I.), the level of A.I. that can perform any task a human can but more efficiently, remains far from reality.
Maybe you've seen Goldman Sachs's forecast that the $15.7 trillion A.I. revolution will impact 300 million jobs. But Elon Musk's "A.I. 2.0" is already forcing organizations to ramp up those estimates. Now McKinsey analysts say it could leave 800 million unemployed, as Wired.com says 70% of occupations could be replaced. Where could you and your family stand in all this?
A few years ago, the consensus was that A.G.I. would not be achieved in our lifetimes.
Earlier this year, the consensus shifted, with some experts believing A.G.I. was about 10 years away.
Now, technology experts such as Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk and Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang think A.G.I. is just three to five years away. Notice the trend?
The timeline to A.G.I. is becoming increasingly shorter, and it is now believed that the level of artificial intelligence that could either save or destroy humanity may be only a few years away.
That is terrifying. If you are already spooked by that sobering reality, you may want to stop reading now.
Because new reports actually suggest that A.G.I. may already be here.
Reuters recently reported that OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT, discovered an A.I. breakthrough so significant that its own researchers said it could "threaten humanity."
While the details are scarce, the company has confirmed that the model is real.
Reportedly, this model has learned to use synthetic data to reason through complex mathematics and science problems. If true, this is a breakthrough that experts recommend could be the most significant leap yet toward true A.G.I.
Is it time to sound the alarms?
I think so.
The Upcoming Divide
I consider myself an "A.I. Optimist." I believe that artificial intelligence, with its ability to augment productivity, will usher in an era of unprecedented economic prosperity and abundance.
I am very confident in this belief.
However, I understand that every situation has its drawbacks. In contrast to the A.I.-driven prosperity and abundance, there is a grim outlook for individuals and businesses that do not embrace artificial intelligence.
The A.I. Boom is already creating a divide between the "haves" and the "have-nots." Take Wall Street, for example. Numerous A.I. stocks increased by hundreds of percent in 2023. In comparison, the rest of the market, as measured by the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index, barely scraped by 10%.
To put it another way: A.I. stock investors are making money hand over fist, while other investors are not.
I am confident that this is the new norm, and that artificial intelligence will divide society into two groups.
On one side are investors and businesses who embrace A.I., invest in it, and use it to enhance productivity…
On the other side are those who neglect A.I., do not invest in A.I. stocks, and fail to adopt the technology in their daily lives. I believe these individuals are setting themselves up for failure for the next several decades.
Very soon, A.G.I. will significantly and irreversibly accelerate this division.
That is why OpenAI's breakthrough should terrify you.
If you are not on the right side of the A.I. Boom, you will be stuck on the losing side, potentially forever.
The time to act is now.
Because this new breakthrough could accelerate an unprecedented A.I. arms race, dramatically enhance business productivity, and potentially trigger a surge in specific A.I. stocks.
This pivotal shift, which I've dubbed the "A.I. Endgame," presents a window of opportunity that savvy investors cannot afford to miss. To get ahead of this upcoming endgame, it is imperative to act swiftly—before Feb. 29.
TradeSmith is not registered as an investment adviser and operates under the publishers' exemption of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. The investments and strategies discussed in TradeSmith's content do not constitute personalized investment advice. Any trading or investment decisions you take are in reliance on your own analysis and judgment and not in reliance on TradeSmith. There are risks inherent in investing and past investment performance is not indicative of future results.
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