Hey there, Nil!
Markets are attempting to recover from Monday's sharp selloff as investors digest President Trump's escalating criticism of Fed Chair Powell. With five Fed officials scheduled to speak today and major earnings reports on the menu, let's dig into the market buffet and see what's cooking! Plus, try your luck and win a $50 Amazon Gift Card! 🎁
- Dan
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- South Korea's acting president expects a positive outcome from US trade talks
- China sends team to Myanmar to monitor ceasefire, foreign ministry says
- Europeans outlined non-negotiable issues to the US for the Ukraine-Russia peace deal
- Russian court cuts jail term for American held on drug charges
- Thai PM says US tariff negotiations postponed to review "issues"
- Israeli strike south of Beirut kills commander in Sunni Islamist group
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AT&T has surged 67.5% over the past year and 20% in 2025 alone, far outpacing the S&P 500's 10% decline. After years in a slump, the telecom giant is gaining traction thanks to 5G expansion, price hikes on legacy plans, and a 146% boost in free cash flow. Its services-based model makes it largely immune to Trump's tariff policies, unlike tech and retail. With strong margins, stable cash flow, and low reliance on Chinese suppliers, AT&T stands out as a tariff-resistant value play, trading at just 12x earnings and 5x cash flow, well below the broader market. (Current price: $25.56, Analyst expectation post earnings: $35) |
Fed Independence Protection Plan: With Trump escalating criticism of Powell and markets showing clear anxiety over potential Fed chair replacement, focus on companies with strong balance sheets and domestic revenue streams less dependent on accommodative monetary policy. Tariff-Resistant Portfolio Mix: Build positions in sectors largely immune to import tariffs, like telecom and utilities. These companies operate primarily domestically and face minimal direct exposure to international trade tensions or supply chain disruptions. Asian Market Rotation Strategy: Markets in Asia have shown surprising resilience, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite gaining while U.S. indexes decline. Evidence suggests some "Sell America" trade proceeds are being redeployed to Asian regions. Domestic Manufacturing Boost: Companies expanding U.S. production capacity may benefit from the current policy environment. Regeneron's $3 billion deal with Fujifilm Diosynth follows similar moves by Eli Lilly and Johnson & Johnson to increase domestic manufacturing. Fed Speaker Volatility Preparation: With five Fed officials speaking today ahead of the quiet period, prepare for potential market swings by balancing positions and maintaining adequate liquidity to respond to any significant policy signals or independence concerns. |
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Market Whispers: What's Bill Ackman Doing With Hertz? |
Why would a billionaire investor pour nearly 20% of his fund into a rental-car company that just lost $2.9 billion? Bill Ackman sees something others don't. His Pershing Square just revealed a 12.7 million share stake in Hertz — and the stock has surged over 120% in two days. What's behind the sudden conviction? For one, tariffs. With automakers dodging U.S. import duties, used car prices are set to climb. Hertz owns over 500,000 vehicles — a 10% bump in values means a $1.2 billion asset boost. Add to that: a new CEO, an operational overhaul, and Ackman's wild card — a potential future tie-up with Uber's autonomous fleet rollout. Could a fleet-heavy rental company become a backbone for robotaxis? Ackman's betting big. Wall Street's watching. |
- FOMC Member Jefferson Speaks
- FOMC Member Harker Speaks
- Richmond Manufacturing Index: -6 (Forecast: -4)
- FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
- API Weekly Statistical Bulletin
- FOMC Member Kugler Speaks
- Fed Officials Speaking Schedule:
Market Concerns: - Powell warned tariffs could lead to "slower growth and higher inflation" (stagflation)
- Fed rate cut probability for May meeting down to 11.2% from 20.3% a week ago
- Political pressure on Fed independence is impacting the dollar and wider markets
Major earnings expected today: - Tesla: After the close, expected EPS of $0.41 on $21.34B revenue
- GE Aerospace: First Q1 report since separation, expected EPS of $1.27 on $9.1B sales
- Verizon: Expected adjusted EPS of $1.15 on $33.28B revenue
- Lockheed Martin: Expected EPS of $6.34 on $17.8B in sales, focus on defense spending outlook
- Plus: Northrop Grumman, 3M, SAP, RTX, Intuitive Surgical
- And: Chubb, Danaher, Elevance Health, Capital One Financial, PulteGroup, Kimberly-Clark
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US Pushes India for E-commerce Access: US officials are seeking full market access for Walmart and Amazon as part of trade deal negotiations to avoid tariffs. The agreement would also cover the automotive and food sectors. Trump Meets Retail CEOs on Tariff Impact: The President held a White House meeting with executives from Walmart, Target, and Home Depot to discuss the impact of tariffs on their businesses. Retailers already struggling from prolonged inflation face additional pressure from steep levies on Chinese products. FDA Suspends Milk Quality Testing: The Agency is pausing its quality control program for fluid milk and dairy products due to reduced capacity in the food safety division. Testing suspension took effect Monday. Amazon Pauses Some Data Center Leases: Shares slid 3.5% Monday after Wells Fargo reported the tech giant has paused a portion of leasing discussions, particularly international ones. The company appears to be digesting recent aggressive lease-up deals. Brazil Developing World's Largest Cocoa Farm: Farmer Moises Schmidt aims to revolutionize chocolate ingredient production with a Manhattan-sized, high-yield cocoa farm in Bahia state, featuring fully irrigated and fertilized trees. Investors Fear Powell Firing Impact: Market participants warn of deep hit to asset prices if Trump attempts to remove Fed Chair. Such a move could further weaken the dollar, pressure equities, and send bond yields higher by undermining confidence in central bank independence. Regeneron Signs $3B US Manufacturing Deal: Pharmaceutical company partnering with Fujifilm Diosynth to expand domestic production capacity, joining Eli Lilly and Johnson & Johnson in boosting US manufacturing amid tariff threats. Santander Plans UK Reorganization: Spanish bank seeking regulatory approval to split consumer finance business from UK subsidiary. The move would separate the motor finance division, facing a wave of industry complaints. Qatar Airways Forms Joint Cargo Business: Airline teaming with British Airways parent IAG and Malaysia Aviation Group to create integrated cargo operation offering enhanced connectivity amid growing global trade uncertainty. Spain Boosting Defense Spending: Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez announced a €10.5 billion increase this year, reaching NATO's target of 2% of GDP. Sanchez stressed the importance of "taking reins of our destiny." Asian Markets Show Resilience: Hong Kong's Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite indexes gained this year while US markets declined. Interactive Investor analyst notes "increasing evidence" that 'Sell America' proceeds are flowing to Asian regions. Verizon lost 289,000 monthly phone subscribers in Q1, missing estimates and reversing last quarter's gains. The drop, tied to intense competition and federal budget cuts, pushed shares lower premarket. Dow Tracking Worst April Since 1932: Index down 9% this month following Monday's 972-point drop. S&P 500 fell 2.4% and Nasdaq tumbled 2.6% in Monday's session as Fed independence concerns mounted. |
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Elon Musk's Memphis secret...revealed |
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Tesla (TSLA ⬆️ 0.6%): EV maker gaining ahead of crucial post-market earnings report. Analysts expect an adjusted EPS of $0.41 vs. $0.45 a year ago, with a revenue of $ 21.34 B. Stock down 44% YTD amid falling sales and the CEO's political activities, now ranked 11th in US market cap. Nvidia (NVDA ⬆️ 1.3%): AI chip leader rebounding after Monday's 4.5% drop. Reuters reports that Huawei plans to begin mass shipments of its competing 910C AI chip to Chinese customers amid ongoing export restrictions as soon as next month. GE Aerospace (GE ⬆️ 0.2%): Aviation giant rising slightly ahead of its first Q1 earnings report since separating from GE Vernova last April. Wall Street expects EPS of $1.27 on sales of $ 9.1B. Verizon (VZ ⬆️ 0.9%): Telecom provider climbing before earnings with analysts forecasting Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.15 on revenue of $ 33.28B. The executive previously warned of "soft" wireless subscriber additions amid increasing competition. Lockheed Martin (LMT ⬆️ 0.3%): Defense contractor edging higher before earnings with expectations of Q1 EPS of $6.34 on $17.8B in sales. Investors are watching for comments on the defense spending outlook under the Trump administration. Calix (CALX ⬆️ 13%): Broadband software company surging after beating Q1 expectations and issuing strong Q2 guidance. Revenue forecast of $221-227M exceeds $212M consensus with adjusted EPS of $0.18-0.24 topping $0.16 estimate. Medpace (MEDP ⬇️ 7%): Clinical research firm tumbling despite Q1 beat with revenue up 9.3% YoY. Net new business awards declined 18.8% YoY to $500M, pushing the book-to-bill ratio to 0.90x, suggesting softer demand for clinical trial services. Novo Nordisk (NVO ⬇️ 8%): Danish pharmaceutical giant dropping after Eli Lilly reported promising Phase 3 results for oral weight-loss drug, showing up to 7.9% weight loss in type 2 diabetes patients, competing with Novo's injectable Ozempic. |
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ETF Gainers: - Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF (⬆️ 13.10%)
- 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (⬆️ 12.09%)
- T-Rex 2X Inverse Tesla Daily Target ETF (⬆️ 11.92%)
- Tradr 2X Short TSLA Daily ETF (⬆️ 11.55%)
- GraniteShares 2x Short TSLA Daily ETF (⬆️ 11.45%)
ETF Losers: - AdvisorShares MSOS Daily Leveraged ETF (⬇️ 16.11%)
- Defiance Daily Target 2X Long IONQ ETF (⬇️ 13.64%)
- Defiance Daily Target 2X Long SMCI ETF (⬇️ 12.46%)
- GraniteShares 2x Long SMCI Daily ETF (⬇️ 12.30%)
- GraniteShares 2x Long TSLA Daily ETF (⬇️ 11.66%)
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For more information and to verify the accuracy of the claims made in this email, please consult the following reliable sources: - South Korea's acting president sees U.S. trade talks leading to a beneficial solution (Reuters)
- China sends team to Myanmar to monitor ceasefire, foreign ministry says (Reuters)
- Europeans outlined non-negotiable issues to U.S. in Ukraine-Russia peace deal: French official (Reuters)
- Russian court cuts jail term for American held on drug charges, lawyer says (Reuters)
- Thai PM says U.S. tariff negotiations postponed to review issues (Reuters)
- Israeli strike in south Beirut kills commander of Sunni Islamist group, statement says (Reuters)
- Stock market movers today (Barron's)
- Why gold still makes sense for your portfolio (Barron's)
- Amazon slides as Wells Fargo says company is pausing some data center leases (Seeking Alpha)
- U.S. pushes India for full e-commerce market access in trade talks (Seeking Alpha)
- Biggest stock movers Tuesday: NVO, MEDP and more (Seeking Alpha)
- Trump sees Walmart, Target, and Home Depot CEOs at White House for tariff meeting (Seeking Alpha)
- FDA suspends milk quality testing due to staffing reductions (Seeking Alpha)
- Brazil's "cocoa king" aims to revolutionize global chocolate industry (Yahoo Finance)
- Analysis: Investors fear Trump's attacks on the Fed could shake markets again (Yahoo Finance)
- AT&T: A tariff-resistant buy (Seeking Alpha)
- Regeneron signs $3 billion deal with U.S. government (Yahoo Finance)
- Santander seeks to split motor finance business from UK unit (Bloomberg)
- Qatar Airways and IAG plan joint cargo business amid trade concerns (Bloomberg)
- Spain to boost defense spending to 2% of GDP this year (Bloomberg)
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Want to snag a $50 gift card? It's easy! Just open 5 Market Munchies emails by Friday, April 25 to enter. 📨 Entries close at 11:59 PM sharp, so don't miss out! The lucky winner will be randomly selected and notified via email with their prize.
Good luck! |
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