Hey there, Nil!
Markets are cooking up a hearty rally as President Trump cools tensions on two fronts – clarifying he has "no intention" of firing Fed Chair Powell while suggesting China tariffs will come down "substantially" after negotiations. Let's dig into today's market buffet as investors enjoy this taste of optimism! Plus, try your luck and win a $50 Amazon Gift Card! 🎁
- Dan
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- China's President Xi says tariffs and trade wars hurt the world economic order.
- Zelenskiy says Chinese citizens are working at the drone production site in Russia.
- China says the US should stop threats and coercion if it wants an agreement.
- Germany, France, and Britain call on Israel to allow aid into Gaza.
- South Korea to raise Chinese presence in the disputed area of the sea during dialogue.
- Iran says new U.S. energy sanctions contradict ongoing Iran-U.S. talks.
- Russia destroys energy facility in Ukraine's Kherson, governor says.
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AT&T has jumped 67.5% in the past year and 20% in 2025, outpacing the S&P 500's 10% drop. Fueled by 5G growth, price hikes, and a 146% surge in free cash flow, it's bouncing back from years of underperformance. With strong margins, minimal exposure to China, and low valuation at 12x earnings, AT&T looks like a standout, tariff-resistant value play. (Price at call: $25.56, Current price: $27.02, Analyst expectation post earnings: $35) |
TELUS has outperformed Bell and Rogers with a -0.71% return since Sept 2023, driven by growth in Health and Agriculture, which now make up 11% of revenue. While its core TTech segment grew just 1.8%, the diversified revenue mix added strength. TELUS boasts a lower debt-to-equity ratio (178%) and expects to reduce capital intensity post-fiber buildout. With a projected $2.15B in free cash flow and a juicy 7.75% dividend yield, it's aiming to lower its payout ratio from 81% to within its 60-75% target. (Current price: $15.18, Analyst expectation: $18.50) |
Trump Trade Deal Optimism Mix: With the President suggesting China tariffs will drop "substantially" and Treasury Secretary Bessent expecting de-escalation "in the very near future," there is a position for potential relief in companies with Chinese supply chain exposure that could benefit from reduced trade tensions. Chinese Tech Supply Chain Rotation: Chinese stocks broadly gained on trade deal hopes, with tech hardware stocks like Foxconn Industrial Internet (+2.6%) and Luxshare Precision Industry (+4.1%) leading the way. Consider exposure to Asian tech supply chains that could benefit from improved US-China relations. Dollar Recovery Preparation: The US Dollar Index rose 0.3% to 99.2050 as Fed independence and trade war concerns eased. However, a Commerzbank analyst cautions against expecting "a major recovery phase" given the Trump administration's preference for a weaker dollar and typically erratic policy approach. Earnings Season Navigation Strategy: Closely monitor how companies are addressing tariff impacts in their guidance. Intuitive Surgical lowered margin guidance due to tariffs, while Tesla reaffirmed production timelines despite headwinds. This earnings season provides crucial insights into which businesses can navigate trade uncertainty. Crypto-Related ETF Momentum: With crypto-focused ETFs dominating the gainers list (MARA +30.41%, RIOT +26.22%, COIN +17.10%), consider whether this sector rotation represents a tactical opportunity amid broader market uncertainties or simply short-term volatility. |
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Bitcoin has crashed from $100,000… |
But while amateur investors panic-sell, something SHOCKING is happening behind the scenes: The world's elite investors are quietly accumulating at the fastest pace Bryce Paul has ever witnessed in his 8+ years in crypto. Why? Because they recognize what this truly is: This isn't a crash. It's a wealth transfer opportunity. Despite all the doom and gloom in the headlines, the fundamentals have never been stronger: Trump's pro-crypto administration has dismantled regulatory barriers… A national crypto stockpile is being established for the first time… ETFs are creating massive on-ramps for institutional money… The halving last year has reduced new supply by 50%... What most investors don't realize is that this temporary dip is creating a "perfect storm" buying opportunity that happens maybe once every 4 years. But what's truly interesting isn't THAT billionaires are buying… It's HOW they're buying. The Crypto 101 team has just uncovered the exact accumulation strategy the ultra-wealthy are using during this dip. It's unlike anything they've seen before at this scale. And they've distilled it into a simple step-by-step blueprint that ANYONE can follow, regardless of experience or starting capital. This urgent market briefing has just been made available for just $3 today to ensure everyone can access it before prices inevitably reverse. Discover The Billionaire Dip Strategy Before It's Too Late |
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Investment Bite: Cytonics Alternative Investment Spotlight |
Biotech company Cytonics is raising capital through a Reg A+ offering to develop one of the first disease-modifying treatments for Osteoarthritis (OA), a condition affecting over 365 million people globally with a potential market of $390 billion. The company is advancing CYT-108, a genetically engineered variant of the naturally occurring Alpha-2-Macroglobulin (A2M) protein. Their first-generation therapy, Autologous Protease Inhibitor Concentrate (APIC™), has already successfully treated over 10,000 patients, providing clinical and commercial validation of their approach. Cytonics has initiated Phase 1 clinical trials across three Australian sites, with 22 patients enrolled and successfully dosed with CYT-108, reporting no drug-related adverse events. The company has secured a seven-figure investment from MMA and WWE superstars Rener and Eve Gracie to serve as brand ambassadors. Key Investment Details: - Offering Type: Reg A+ equity (Common Stock)
- Price Per Share: $3.00
- Valuation: $104.08 million
- Funding Goal: $501 - $20 million
- Deadline: March 15, 2026
- Minimum Investment: $501
- Risk Level: Speculative, illiquid investment with high risk of loss
Investor Considerations: - First-in-human Phase 1 clinical trial is currently underway
- Protected by 25 patents with Johnson & Johnson Development Corp as a 12% shareholder
- Phase 1 data collection is expected to be completed in early Q2 2025
- The executive team includes founder Dr. Gaetano Scuderi (Stanford University) and leadership with over 100 years combined biotech experience
- Operates in a highly competitive pharmaceutical development space with significant regulatory hurdles
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- FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks (USD)
- FOMC Member Waller Speaks (USD)
- Flash Manufacturing PMI (USD): 49.0 (Previous: 50.2)
- Flash Services PMI (USD): 52.8 (Previous: 54.4)
- New Home Sales (USD): 684K (Forecast: 676K)
- Day 3 – IMF Meetings (All)
- Crude Oil Inventories (USD): 1.6M (Forecast: 0.5M)
- Beige Book (USD)
- FOMC Member Hammack Speaks (USD)
Fed Policy Outlook: - Trump is still pressing Powell to be "more active" in lowering rates
- "This is a perfect time to lower interest rates," but "if he doesn't, is it the end? No"
- The dollar rebounded from a three-year low reached on Monday
- Treasury yields easing with 10-year falling to 4.358% from 4.4%
Major earnings expected Monday: - Boeing: Analysts expect Q1 loss of $1.17 per share on revenue of $19.6B amid production constraints and quality concerns
- AT&T: Wall Street projecting adjusted Q1 EPS of $0.51 on revenue of $30.36B
- IBM: Enterprise technology giant reporting after challenging quarter for tech sector
- Philip Morris: Tobacco company results amid changing global regulatory environment
- Plus: Texas Instruments, ServiceNow, Thermo Fisher Scientific, NextEra Energy
- And: GE Vernova, Amphenol, General Dynamics, Lam Research, Newmont, Chipotle, Vertiv, Las Vegas Sands
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Tesla Misses Q1 Results But Stock Jumps: Shares rose 6% despite missing expectations as CEO Musk announced his "time allocation to DOGE will drop significantly" in May. Musk will spend more time at Tesla while reducing Washington commitments to "a day or two per week." China's Great Wall Motor Seeking Brazil Production Base: The Chinese automaker is looking to establish manufacturing in Brazil to expand into nearby regions. Chairman Wei Jianjun stated that the US tariff impact "is there, but not big," as the company has limited US export exposure. Intel Planning Over 20% Staff Cuts This Week: Bloomberg reports chip giant will announce significant workforce reduction to eliminate bureaucracy and rebuild engineering-driven culture. First major restructuring under new CEO Lip-Bu Tan following last year's 15,000 job cuts. Oil Prices Climb Over 1%: Crude prices extended gains as investors weighed fresh US sanctions on Iran, lower US crude stocks, and Trump's softer tone toward the Federal Reserve. Brent futures rose 1.4% to $68.39 while WTI gained 1.5% to $64.64. InPost Signs Vinted Delivery Deal Through 2027: Parcel locker company secured agreement to handle deliveries for Lithuanian online marketplace across eight European countries, including the UK, France, Poland, and Spain, supporting expansion strategy in key e-commerce markets. Xiaomi Delays First SUV After Fatal Accident: Chinese tech company pushed back the debut of YU7 electric SUV and scrapped Shanghai auto show unveiling following a fatal accident involving its electric car. The original launch target was June or July, with a new date not yet confirmed. DC's Special Status Threatened by DOGE Cuts: Trump and Musk's Department of Government Efficiency campaign is expected to disrupt Washington, DC's economic engine with thousands of federal job cuts. District forecasts losing up to 40,000 federal jobs (21% of the federal workforce), affecting local businesses and tax collections. Chinese Stocks Gain on Trade Deal Hopes: Markets ended mostly higher amid eased investor concerns after Trump said 145% tariffs on Chinese goods would come down "substantially" after negotiations. Auto stocks boosted by strong EV showing at Shanghai Auto Show. Dollar Rises as Independence Concerns Ease: Greenback strengthened as Trump comments calmed fears over Fed independence and the US-China trade war. Analysts caution against expecting a major recovery given the administration's preference for a weaker dollar and erratic policy approach. Trump Says China Tariffs Won't Stay at 145%: President indicated levies will "come down substantially, but it won't be zero." Added "we're going to be very nice and they're going to be very nice" regarding potential trade talks with Beijing. Treasury Secretary Expects US-China De-escalation: Scott Bessent told attendees at a Washington event that hostilities would ease in the "very near future," according to sources present at the meeting, boosting market sentiment. Chinese EVs Popular at Shanghai Auto Show: Strong showings from domestic electric vehicle makers boosted auto stocks, with BYD rising 4.8% amid investor optimism for the sector despite global trade tensions. |
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Tesla (TSLA ⬆️ 6.3%): EV maker soaring despite Q1 net income dropping 71% and missing estimates. Adjusted EPS of $0.27 fell short of the $0.41 consensus on sales of $19.3B (down 9% YoY). Investors cheered CEO Musk's announcement that his "time allocation to DOGE will drop significantly" starting in May. Plans for more affordable models remain "on track" for production in H1 2025. Intel (INTC ⬆️ 3.3%): Chip giant rising after Bloomberg reported plans to cut over 20% of staff this week. First major restructuring under new CEO Lip-Bu Tan aims to streamline management and rebuild an engineering-driven culture. Follows last year's 15,000 job cuts that reduced the workforce to 108,900. SAP (SAP ⬆️ 9%): German software leader jumping after beating Q1 expectations with adjusted EPS of €1.52 and revenue up 12% to €9.013B. Cloud revenue hit €4.993B while free cash flow surged 36% to €3.583B. The company maintained 2025 guidance despite citing "elevated levels of uncertainty." Enphase Energy (ENPH ⬇️ 9%): Solar panel and storage solutions provider tumbling after Q1 earnings miss. Company's Q2 revenue outlook of $340M-$380M (midpoint $360M) fell short of $377.74M consensus despite 35% YoY growth. Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY ⬇️ 3%): Pharmaceutical firm sliding after schizophrenia drug Cobeys failed to meet primary goal in late-stage trial as an add-on to atypical antipsychotics. Treatment showed 2-point symptom improvement over placebo, but it wasn't enough for trial success. Capital One (COF ⬆️ 2.8%): Financial services firm gaining after topping Q1 expectations with adjusted EPS of $4.06 vs $3.64 forecast. Revenue declined 2% to $10B and slightly missed estimates. The company's $35.3B all-stock acquisition of Discover Financial received regulatory approval last week. Intuitive Surgical (ISRG ⬇️ 0.8%): Medical technology company edging lower despite beating Q1 expectations with adjusted EPS of $1.81 vs $1.74 estimate on revenue up 19% to $2.25B. The company lowered 2025 adjusted gross profit margin guidance to 65-66.5% due to tariff impacts. Oklo (OKLO ⬇️ 1.2%): Nuclear energy startup declining after announcing OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stepping down as chairman. The company didn't provide a reason, but the COO alluded to potential collaboration with OpenAI to "bring scalable, clean energy to the AI sector." |
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ETF Gainers: - GraniteShares 2x Long MARA Daily ETF (⬆️ 30.41%)
- Defiance Daily Target 2X Long RIOT ETF (⬆️ 26.22%)
- GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF (⬆️ 17.10%)
- ProShares Ultra Ether ETF (⬆️ 16.86%)
- 2x Ether ETF (⬆️ 16.46%)
ETF Losers: - ProShares UltraShort Ether ETF (⬇️ 16.45%)
- T-Rex 2X Inverse MSTR Daily Target ETF (⬇️ 15.84%)
- Defiance Daily Target 2x Short MSTR ETF (⬇️ 15.70%)
- 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (⬇️ 13.18%)
- Direxion Daily Dow Jones Internet Bear 3X Shares (⬇️ 10.08%)
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🥡 Take Control of Your Cash Flow: This free guide offers effective strategies to overcome late payments and ensure timely revenue collection—Download now! |
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For more information and to verify the accuracy of the claims made in this email, please consult the following reliable sources: - Zelenskiy says Chinese citizens working at drone production site in Russia (Reuters)
- China's President Xi says tariffs, trade wars hurt world economic order (Reuters)
- China says U.S. should stop threats, coercion if it wants an agreement (Reuters)
- South Korea to raise Chinese presence in disputed sea area during dialogue (Reuters)
- Germany, France, Britain call on Israel to allow aid into Gaza (Reuters)
- Stock Market Movers (Barron's)
- Chinese stocks broadly gain on hopes for trade deal with U.S. (Barron's)
- Trump says China tariffs will drop substantially from 145%, but it won't be zero (Seeking Alpha)
- Stock futures soar, Trump says no intention of axing Fed Chairman Powell (Seeking Alpha)
- European markets gain as global sentiment improves, SAP jumps (Seeking Alpha)
- Tesla misses on Q1 results, but stock jumps after Musk says time at Doge will drop significantly (Yahoo Finance)
- China's Great Wall Motor seeking global expansion (Yahoo Finance)
- Intel to announce plans this week to cut costs (Yahoo Finance)
- Oil rises 1% on Iran sanctions risk (Yahoo Finance)
- InPost signs deal to handle Vinted logistics (Yahoo Finance)
- Xiaomi delays release of its first SUV (Yahoo Finance)
- Biggest stock movers Wednesday: TSLA, ENPH and more (Seeking Alpha)
- Cytonics investment opportunity on StartEngine (StartEngine)
- Washington D.C.'s economy threatened by Musk's Doge spending cuts (Bloomberg)
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