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Trump's Market Demolition Crew at Work

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Total Wealth

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Trump's Market Demolition Crew at Work

Robert Ross

Robert Ross
Speculative Assets Specialist

I sent you a controversial piece of research last month.

It laid out my "controlled demolition" thesis for how the Trump Administration planned to remake the U.S. economy… for better or worse.

It works like this: the U.S. government has a debt problem.

And it's a big one, at $36 trillion.

Nine trillion dollars' worth comes due this year.

The interest rate on U.S. Treasurys was high when Trump and Bessent entered the White House.

They needed to bring down that rate so they could issue new debt at lower rates.

How do you get rates lower fast?

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You crash the stock market.

Yes, I know it sounds wild.

But it makes sense when you remember that 8% of Americans own 94% of all U.S. stocks.

And that same 8% is responsible for 50% of all consumer spending in the U.S.

If you crash stocks, you slow the economy. Theoretically, this would bring down interest rates. Then, the government can issue debt at lower rates while lowering the debt burden for the other 90% of Americans.

It sounded pretty far out there last month.

Not so much anymore.

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Trump and Bessent Confirmed My Thinking

When I presented this theory to our research team, many thought I had lost my mind.

Reader Nick H. agreed...

If that is an example of Robert's clear and succinct stock market analysis, I suggest he has been smoking something. Fiddlesticks.

 

Look, when I first connected these dots, I thought it sounded looney.

But the longer this stock market crash has lasted - and it is indeed turning into a crash after "Liberation Day" - the more conviction I had.

Everything came to a head last Friday when Trump posted a video to his Truth Social account detailing the exact "controlled demolition" idea to a T (you can watch the video for yourself here):

Trump is Purposely CRASHING The Market
 

Then, later in the day, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent went on Tucker Carlson's podcast and said the following:

The distribution of equities across households shows the top 10% of Americans own 88% of equities. The next 40% owns 12% of the stock market. And the bottom 50% has debt. And we need to give them some relief.

 

Bessent laid out what I have been saying: the administration is sacrificing the stock market to help the bottom 50% of Americans.

I don't think this is a good idea.

While U.S. government bond yields have declined, they still hover around 4%.

This leaves us with the most pressing question: How do we invest in this environment?

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Here are the Moves I'm Making

You don't swing for the fences.

You don't chase the former leaders.

And you certainly don't assume the old playbook still works.

You need to be tactical.

Government policies are no longer support markets. They might even be intentionally undercutting them.

We want to own companies with...

  • Real cash flows
  • Defensible moats
  • Products people will keep buying even in a slowdown
  • Low reliance on imports.

These are precisely the types of stocks we've been targeting in Breakout Fortunes over the last few weeks.

It also means holding more cash than usual, watching sentiment like a hawk, and being ready to deploy when opportunity strikes.

Because make no mistake, there will be opportunity.

This isn't a repeat of 2008, 2020, or 2022.

It's more like 2018: choppy, unpredictable, and policy-driven.

This is the kind of environment where smart positioning and risk management can put you far ahead of the crowd by the time the next trend emerges.

And in my premium trading research serice Breakout Fortunes, that's exactly what we're doing - positioning for what's next, not what was.

Stay safe out there,

Robert

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