Hey there, Nil!
Markets are sampling some modest gains this morning following yesterday's tasty rally that pushed the S&P 500 back into positive territory for the year. A cooler-than-expected inflation reading and news of artificial intelligence investments from Saudi Arabia have added some delicious flavor to investor sentiment. Let's dig into today's financial menu! Plus, try your luck and win a $50 Amazon Gift Card! 🎁
- Dan
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- Trump meets Syrian president, says he is looking into normalizing ties
- Ukraine's Zelenskiy insists on face-to-face talks with Putin in Istanbul
- Pakistan receives the second tranche under the extended fund facility from the IMF
- Canadian PM criticizes UK's invitation to Trump for state visit
- US slashes 'de minimis' tariff on small China parcels to as low as 30%
- Germany arrests three Ukrainians suspected of spying in an exploding parcel plot
- Iranian and European diplomats to meet on Friday, Iran minister says
- Trump says US to lift Syria sanctions, secures $600 billion Saudi deal
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Chef's Pick: Energy Recipe |
EverQuote runs an online insurance marketplace, mainly in auto (89% of 2024 revenue), using smart data to match consumers with carriers. Q1 revenue jumped 83% to $167M, with margins rising—gross from 94% to 97%, and operating from 2% to 9.5%. (Price at call: $24.19, Current price: $25, Analyst expectation: $30) |
Cheniere Energy (LNG) Cheniere Energy offers investors a premium energy dish with a remarkable track record, having returned over 425% in the past five years with a notably smooth price pattern. As the largest US LNG producer and second-largest globally, Cheniere owns two critical export terminals: Sabine Pass (30 mtpa capacity) and Corpus Christi (15 mtpa with 10 mtpa expansion underway). The company's solid Q1 results showed $5.44B revenue (+28% YoY) and $1.9B adjusted EBITDA (+19% YoY), with management reaffirming full-year guidance of $6.5-7B EBITDA. Currently trading near all-time highs despite April's tariff turbulence, Cheniere's strong uptrend points to a potential $330 price target (+41%) by year-end, making it a tasty "BUY" for investors seeking exposure to growing global LNG demand. (Current price: $232, Analyst expectation long term: $300) |
Post-Inflation Rally Strategy: With April CPI coming in at a 3-year low of 2.3%, consider balancing growth-oriented tech positions with interest-rate sensitive sectors like utilities and REITs. Consumer discretionary companies could benefit from cooling inflation pressures while maintaining exposure to quality growth stocks with pricing power. Middle East AI Investment Play: President Trump's Saudi Arabia visit yielded $600B in deals, including massive AI infrastructure investments. Beyond the obvious chip makers (Nvidia +1.9%, AMD +1.5%), look for companies supplying critical components, cooling systems, and energy infrastructure needed for data center construction in hot climates. Market Recovery Positioning: With S&P 500 erasing its year-to-date losses and the VIX below 20, Goldman Sachs suggests diversifying away from U.S. markets as the dollar weakens. Consider European banks and markets (Germany, Italy, Hong Kong) showing recent strength, while maintaining core positions in quality growth and value companies with strong buyback and dividend programs. Energy Transition Opportunity: As First Solar's 23% surge demonstrated, market expectations for clean energy policy might be overly pessimistic. The LNG export sector (where Cheniere leads) offers exposure to growing global demand while Republican tax plans appear less punitive to renewables than feared, creating potential entry points in select clean energy names. Defensive Healthcare Rebalance: UnitedHealth's 18% plunge on Medicare Advantage challenges highlights sector-specific risks, but created potential entry points in oversold quality names. Look for companies less exposed to government program changes, with strong cash flows and reasonable valuations following the sector's recent volatility. |
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Investment Bite: Kara Water Alternative Investment Spotlight |
Kara Water is raising capital through a Reg CF offering at $6.37/share with a $61.41 million valuation. The company develops innovative air-to-water technology that extracts moisture from the air and filters it into pure drinking water without requiring plumbing or external water sources. With over $2.2 million in total sales to date and 14,700+ preorder indications for their product lines, Kara Water is targeting the $348 billion global bottled water market and $56 billion water purifier market. The company experienced 590% year-over-year revenue growth from 2022 to 2023 and generated over $820,000 in revenue in 2024. Their latest innovations include Kara Pure 2, an advanced model of their flagship product, and Kara Pod, a dual-purpose self-refilling coffee maker and water dispenser priced 90% lower than previous models. The company has signed a supplier agreement with Costco, enabling potential product listing on Costco.com, and established an account to sell on Wayfair. Key Investment Details: - Offering Type: Reg CF equity (Class B Common Stock)
- Price Per Share: $6.37
- Valuation: $61.41 million
- Funding Goal: $10K - $3.83M
- Deadline: July 23, 2025
- Minimum Investment: $496.86
- Risk Level: Speculative, illiquid investment with high risk of loss
Investor Considerations: - Patented air-to-water technology inspired by the Namib Desert beetle
- Addresses growing concerns about clean water accessibility without plastic waste
- Partnership agreements with major retailers, though no purchase orders have been finalized yet
- Secured Tier-1 manufacturing partner to help scale production
- Operates in a competitive water purification market with established players
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Major earnings expected today: - Cisco Systems (CSCO): Networking equipment giant serves up its latest performance metrics
- CoreWeave: Private AI infrastructure provider reveals growth trajectory
- Dynatrace (DT): Software intelligence platform dishes out monitoring solution metrics
- Nextracker (NXT): Solar tracking system company shines light on renewable energy demand
- Boot Barn (BOOT): Western wear retailer laces up to consumer discretionary trends
- DXC Technology (DXC): IT services firm presents digital transformation insights
The rest of the week will offer additional earnings delicacies, with key reports expected from retailers, tech companies, and industrial firms as the first-quarter earnings season approaches its final course. |
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Oil Prices Fall on Inventory Concerns: Crude prices dropped as traders eyed a potential jump in US stockpiles, awaiting weekly data and OPEC's monthly report. Brent fell 1.1% to $65.90 while WTI slipped 1.2% to $62.90. UBS analyst noted API report also contained "supportive elements such as large refined product draws." Goldman Sachs Reports Investors Trimming Dollar Holdings: Bank president John Waldron said recent lightening of US dollar assets represents a return to more neutral positions rather than "run for the gates." Financial markets experienced a roller-coaster ride after April 2 tariff increases prompted some investors to reduce American assets. Databricks Acquiring Neon for $1 Billion: Data analytics company announced agreement to buy database startup to bolster AI-powered data management capabilities. San Francisco-based firm says deal addresses business challenge of quickly linking necessary data to run AI services. China Enhancing Financial Support for Tech Innovation: The Government announced plans to accelerate capital market support for science and technology enterprises and expand bank credit for firms in the sector. The move comes amid efforts to reduce foreign technology dependence amid rising US-China tensions. UK Retailer Co-Op Recovering from Cyber Incident: British grocery chain reported systems now running normally, with improved stock availability expected this weekend. The company is among several UK retailers recently targeted by hackers, stating it's "in recovery phase," taking steps to bring systems back online safely. Biotech Firms Consider Moving Early Trials Outside US: Some companies are planning trials outside the United States due to concerns about FDA layoffs and policy changes under the Trump administration, potentially delaying regulatory reviews. FDA's status as the global gold standard for drug regulation traditionally leads companies to seek American approval first. Trump Touts US Tech During Middle East Tour: The President arrived in Saudi Arabia with nearly three dozen CEOs from America's biggest companies, including tech giants that signed $600 billion worth of deals. AI chips for Middle East tech infrastructure projects are seen as crucial for the region's post-oil future. Trump Administration Cuts $450M More from Harvard: Eight federal agencies withdrawing additional funding from university, intensifying criticism of school's handling of antisemitism on campus. The move follows a previous $2.2 billion freeze, bringing the total penalties to approximately $2.65 billion. |
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Pet insurance could help you offset rising veterinary costs | Veterinarians nationwide reported that corporate managers pushed clinics to focus on profit, with vets often paid based on revenue. This encouraged them to see more pets, order more tests, and upsell services, creating a growing burden for uninsured pet owners. Pet insurance could help you offset some of these rising costs, with some providing up to 90% reimbursement. View Money's top pet insurance picks to see plans starting at only $10/month. SEE PROVIDERS |
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Nvidia (NVDA ⬆️ 1.9%): AI chip leader extending gains after yesterday's 5.6% jump on announcement of partnership with Saudi Arabia's Humain for 500-megawatt data center project. The company will supply several hundred thousand GPUs over the next five years. Market cap closed above $3 trillion Tuesday for the first time since February. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD ⬆️ 1.5%): Chipmaker rising after gaining 4% Tuesday. Also announced a deal to supply semiconductors to Saudi Arabia's Humain in a $10 billion project, joining the Middle East AI feast alongside rival Nvidia. Palantir Technologies (PLTR ⏸️ slight gain): Data analytics firm maintaining momentum after surging 8.1% Tuesday to record close of $128.10. The company reached a $302.3 billion market cap yesterday, closing above $300 billion for the first time. UnitedHealth (UNH ⬆️ 2.8%): Healthcare giant rebounding after plummeting 18% Tuesday to its lowest close since October 2020. The company pulled its 2025 outlook, citing challenges in the Medicare Advantage business, and announced the CEO's departure. First Solar (FSLR ⬇️ 1.6%): Solar panel manufacturer cooling after spectacular 23% surge Tuesday that marked fifth straight positive session (51% gain over span). Stock benefited from early drafts of the Republican tax bill that weren't as harsh on the solar sector as feared. American Eagle Outfitters (AEO ⬇️ 14%): Apparel retailer plunging after swinging to Q1 loss and pulling guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year. The CEO cited "merchandising strategies did not drive the results we anticipated," leading to higher promotions and excess inventory. Oklo (OKLO ⬇️ 2.7%): Clean energy company slipping despite reporting narrower Q1 loss of $0.07 vs analyst estimates of $0.10 and prior year's $0.34 loss. Stock had gained 11% on Tuesday after announcing the completion of drilling at the proposed first nuclear plant site. Exelixis (EXEL ⬆️ 8.2%): Oncology company jumping after beating Q1 estimates and raising fiscal year revenue guidance to $2.25-2.35 billion from a previous $2.15-2.25 billion forecast. Wolfspeed (WOLF ⬆️ 3.9%): Silicon carbide technology maker extending Tuesday's 16% rally following a Wall Street Journal report that Apollo Global Management engaged investment bank Moelis for potential debt restructuring negotiations. Grail (GRAL ⬇️ 14%): Biotech company tumbling after reporting narrower Q1 loss but revenue of $31.8 million missed analyst expectations of $35.2 million. |
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ETF Gainers: - Leverage Shares 2X Long COIN Daily ETF (⬆️ 48.75%, vol: 62.3K)
- GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF (⬆️ 48.03%, vol: 20.3M)
- GraniteShares 2x Long SMCI Daily ETF (⬆️ 32.07%, vol: 3.3M)
- Defiance Daily Target 2X Long SMCI ETF (⬆️ 31.85%, vol: 9.4M)
- Defiance Daily Target 2X Long HIMS ETF (⬆️ 31.71%, vol: 2.6M)
ETF Losers: - GraniteShares 2x Short COIN Daily ETF (⬇️ 47.78%, vol: 5.9M)
- Defiance Daily Target 2X Short SMCI ETF (⬇️ 32.16%, vol: 4.6M)
- Defiance Daily Target 2X Long RGTI ETF (⬇️ 29.79%, vol: 1.1M)
- YieldMax Short COIN Option Income Strategy ETF (⬇️ 19.32%, vol: 1.9M)
- T-Rex 2X Inverse Ether Daily Target ETF (⬇️ 18.93%, vol: 53.1K)
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For more information and to verify the accuracy of the claims made in this email, please consult the following reliable sources: - Trump to meet Syrian president in Saudi before heading to Qatar (Reuters)
- Rubio discusses way forward on Ukraine ceasefire with European counterparts (Reuters)
- Pakistan receives second tranche under IMF extended fund facility, says central bank (Reuters)
- Canadian PM criticizes UK's invite to Trump for state visit (Reuters)
- US cuts de minimis tariff on China shipments to 54% from 120% (Reuters)
- Germany arrests three Ukrainians suspected of spying and explosive parcel plot (Reuters)
- Iranian and European diplomats to meet Friday, says Iran's foreign minister (Reuters)
- Trump starts Gulf visit seeking major economic deals (Reuters)
- Biggest stock movers Wednesday: SMCI, Sony, and more (Seeking Alpha)
- Oil prices hold near two-month highs (Yahoo Finance)
- Goldman Sachs says investors are trimming exposure after rally (Yahoo Finance)
- Databricks to buy startup Neon for $1B (Yahoo Finance)
- China says it will accelerate financial support to stabilize economy (Yahoo Finance)
- UK's Co-op says systems now restored after technical issue (Yahoo Finance)
- FDA upheaval pushes biotech firms into uncertainty (Yahoo Finance)
- Middle East tour: Trump touts economic cooperation (Yahoo Finance)
- Cheniere Energy: What a wonderful long-term investment (Seeking Alpha)
- Trump administration hits Harvard with additional $450M in funding cuts (Seeking Alpha)
- Stock market movers today (Barron's)
- Stocks have climbed out of a big hole. Here's what Goldman Sachs says investors should do next (MarketWatch)
- 'Fear gauge' still signaling low volatility after sharp drop (Barron's)
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