Hey there, Nil!
The market kitchen is absolutely sizzling with anticipation as President Trump begins his Fed makeover recipe! His nomination of Stephen Miran to the Board of Governors is like adding a new chef who's known for serving up aggressive rate cuts, and investors are already licking their lips at the possibilities. The dollar is getting roasted, falling to 10-day lows as traders bet on a more dovish Federal Reserve menu ahead. Meanwhile, gold is jumping like popcorn in a hot pan (+1.4%) after news of precious metal tariffs, while Treasury yields remain surprisingly flat despite all the monetary policy seasoning. Sometimes the best market meals come from unexpected ingredient changes in the central banking kitchen! Plus, try your luck and win a $50 Amazon Gift Card! 🎁
- Dan
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- Israel Gaza Strategy: Approves plan to take control of Gaza City amid ongoing military operations
- India Political Pushback: PM Modi starts pushing back against Trump pressure and vote-rigging charges
- US-Russia Sanctions: Finland's Valtonen calls for additional sanctions on Moscow amid conflict continuation
- UK-US Diplomatic Tensions: VP Vance kicks off UK visit with transatlantic relationships under strain
- UN Gaza Intervention: Rights chief demands immediate halt to Israeli takeover plan for Palestinian territory
- China-Philippines Taiwan: Beijing accuses Manila of 'playing with fire' over Taiwan support issues
- Indonesian Protest Art: Artists and students unfurl manga pirate signs as new demonstration symbols
- Gaza Malnutrition Crisis: WHO reports nearly 12,000 children under five suffer acute malnutrition
- Netherlands Palestinian State: Rules out recognizing Palestinian statehood for the current period
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Chef's Pick: Steady Dividend Recipe |
Stock of Interest this Week - Recap |
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE: LLY) Eli Lilly (LLY) reported strong Q2 results with $15.6B in revenue (+38% YoY) and raised its 2025 guidance, driven by strong Mounjaro and Zepbound sales. The EPS outlook was lifted to $21.75–$23.00, and revenue to $60–$62B. However, shares dropped 14% after Phase 3 data for its oral obesity drug orforglipron showed 11% weight loss, falling short of high investor expectations. Rival Novo Nordisk (NVO) surged as the data was seen as less threatening to its market lead. (Price at call: $762.33, Current price: $640.86, Analyst expectation: $800) |
Stock of Interest Yesterday |
Flutter Entertainment PLC (FLUT) Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) posted Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.95, beating analyst expectations of $2.08 and last year's $2.61. Revenue rose 16% to $4.19B, also topping forecasts. Reported EPS was $0.59, with net income at $105M. Shares are up 7.4% this quarter and 18.8% YTD. (Price at call: $306.89, Current price: $295.30, Analyst expectation: $330) |
CoreWeave Inc. (NASDAQ: CRWV) CoreWeave is rapidly scaling AI infrastructure with over 45,000 GPUs and a $11.9B OpenAI contract, driving massive growth. Its early deployment of Nvidia's GB200 and a 550% income surge cement tech leadership. Despite 77% revenue from two clients, Q2 revenue of $1.06–$1.1B, and strong FY guidance, support premium valuations in the booming AI cloud space. (Current price: $121.08, Analyst expectation:$160) |
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Fed Reshape Strategy Recipe: Trump's Stephen Miran nomination signals more aggressive rate-cutting approach ahead, creating opportunities in rate-sensitive sectors like REITs, utilities, and dividend-paying stocks. Focus on companies with variable-rate debt structures that benefit from lower borrowing costs. The September rate cut probability, climbing to 89% suggests a sustained accommodation cycle beginning. Dollar Weakness Opportunity Recipe: Greenback falling to 10-day lows creates international investment windows as Fed dovish pivot accelerates capital outflows. Target multinational companies with significant foreign revenue exposure and emerging market assets, gaining competitiveness. Export-oriented businesses benefit while import-heavy sectors face margin pressure from currency dynamics. AI Infrastructure Positioning Recipe: Surging demand for GPU cloud compute driven by generative AI and machine learning creates secular growth tailwinds for specialized providers. Focus on companies with proven customer relationships, technological leadership, and scalable infrastructure rather than speculative plays. The global AI cloud market is growing 27% CAGR through 2030, supporting premium valuations. Rate Cut Momentum Recipe: Wall Street now betting on three 2025 rate cuts with over 50% odds for October and December reductions following September's 89% probability. Position in growth stocks and technology names that benefit from lower discount rates while reducing defensive allocations. Lower rates support higher equity valuations and risk asset appetite. Treasury Auction Impact Recipe: Weak demand for 30-year bonds following lukewarm 10-year auction signals investor caution despite dovish Fed expectations. Monitor yield curve dynamics as rate cut anticipation conflicts with auction results, suggesting inflation concerns persist. Treasury weakness could pressure broader fixed income while supporting equity rotation strategies. |
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USD Economic Events Today's Corporate Kitchen Features Under Armour and Wendy's are reporting quarterly results ahead of the opening bell. |
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Oil Deadline Diplomacy: Crude prices stabilize after six-day decline as Trump's Friday Russia-Ukraine truce deadline approaches, with the president expressing willingness to meet Putin. Brent holds near $66 a barrel as markets await the next moves following India's tariff announcement over Russian energy purchases. Boeing Merger Clearance: UK Competition and Markets Authority approves Boeing's Spirit AeroSystems acquisition without Phase 2 investigation, removing regulatory hurdle for aerospace consolidation. Deal progresses despite initial concerns about anti-competitive impacts in the aircraft manufacturing sector. Tesla Dojo Dissolution: Electric vehicle maker disbands supercomputer team as CEO Elon Musk shuts down in-house AI effort, with leader Peter Bannon departing the company. Twenty workers recently joined the newly formed DensityAI, while the remaining staff were reassigned to other data center projects. Switzerland Gold Shock: U.S. Customs clarifies that one-kilogram and 100-ounce gold bars face tariffs contrary to industry expectations, unleashing fresh bullion market turmoil. Decision threatens to upend trade flows from Switzerland and other key refining hubs in the global precious metals market. China Auto Slowdown: Car sales growth decelerates to 6.9% in July from 18.6% in June as regulators crack down on industry price war. New energy vehicle sales growth slows to 12% from 29.7% despite continuing to outsell gasoline cars for the fifth consecutive month. Intel CEO China History: Lip-Bu Tan's three-decade Chinese investment track record through Walden International draws scrutiny over $5 billion deployed across 600+ companies. Board positions at Semiconductor Manufacturing International and other Chinese firms raise national security concerns amid current tensions. Armenia-Azerbaijan Peace: Trump announces White House summit Friday with expectation that leaders will sign agreement ending decades of conflict. The president highlights bilateral economic agreements with both nations to unlock the South Caucasus region's potential through diplomatic breakthroughs. Firefly Altitude Loss: Space company shares drop 10% in premarket after impressive IPO debut, closing first day at $60.35 (+34% from $45 pricing). $8.48 billion market cap reflects investor enthusiasm for the commercial space sector despite post-debut cooling. Union Pacific Intermodal: Railroad launches Los Angeles to Chicago service, competing with trucking companies through 20% faster delivery times. The new Z train network connects Inland Empire warehouses to Chicago terminals beginning September 3rd with three-day transit capability. Archer Aviation Defense Pivot: Electric aircraft company makes two strategic acquisitions targeting military applications amid growing Department of Defense demand. Overair patent portfolio and Mission-Critical Composites manufacturing facility acquisitions accelerate defense program development. |
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Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO ⬆️ 4%): Gaming giant serves up solid Q1 earnings, beating key metrics while raising annual bookings forecast and reaffirming Grand Theft Auto VI launch schedule. Net bookings guidance increases to $6.05-6.15 billion from prior $5.90-6 billion range, topping $6.04 billion consensus estimates. CEO Strauss Zelnick highlights ongoing demand for core franchises and increasingly diversified business success. Block (SQ ⬆️ 8%): Financial services platform jumps after raising full-year gross profit guidance and issuing strong Q3 outlook despite mixed Q2 results. Q3 gross profit expected at $2.60 billion, above $2.54 billion consensus, while full-year projection increases to $10.2 billion from prior guidance. Parent of Square and Cash App demonstrates continued payment processing momentum. Expedia Group (EXPE ⬆️ 18%): Travel booking company soars after raising full-year outlook on Q2 earnings beat driven by strong business travel demand resurgence. Adjusted EPS of $4.24 on $3.8 billion revenue crushes analyst expectations while 2025 revenue and gross booking growth are raised to the 3-5% range. Recovery in corporate travel spending is providing sustained momentum. Trade Desk (TTD ⬇️ 29%): Ad-tech platform crashes despite solid Q2 earnings as surprise CFO transition disappoints investors significantly. Revenue of $694 million (+19% YoY) and 41 cents adjusted EPS meet expectations, while Q3 guidance aligns with estimates. Longtime CFO Laura Schenkein's departure after a decade-plus tenure creates leadership uncertainty concerns. Pinterest (PINS ⬇️ 11%): Photo-sharing platform retreats after mixed Q2 results, missing profit expectations despite revenue and user growth beats. Monthly active users hit a record 578 million (+11% YoY) while revenue rises 17% to $998.2 million, topping estimates. Q3 revenue guidance of $1.033-1.053 billion above consensus fails to offset earnings disappointment. Twilio (TWLO ⬇️ 13%): Cloud communications company declines despite beating Q2 expectations as Q3 EPS guidance falls short of analyst forecasts. Revenue climbs 13% year-over-year to $1.2 billion while adjusted EPS of $1.19 comfortably exceeds $1.05 consensus estimates. Forward guidance weakness overshadows strong quarterly execution and margin improvements. Skillz (SKLZ ⬆️ 6%): Mobile gaming platform climbs after Q2 results top estimates with 8% revenue growth and paying monthly users jumping 18% sequentially. Company highlights progress in player engagement, $75 million Developer Accelerator program rollout, and disciplined expense management driving EBITDA improvements. Strong balance sheet with $238 million in cash provides investment flexibility. Gilead Sciences (GILD ⬆️ 2.9%): Biotechnology firm rises after raising guidance on strong HIV medicine demand and solid quarterly earnings performance. CEO Daniel O'Day reports successful launch of HIV prevention shot Yeztugo, showing early positive traction. The company benefits from a robust pharmaceutical pipeline and market leadership positioning. |
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ETF Gainers: - Tradr 2X Long APP ETF (⬆️ 21.50%): AppLovin's digital advertising strength amplified through targeted leverage positioning
- T-Rex 2X Long CRWV ETF (⬆️ 19.71%): CoreWeave AI infrastructure momentum creates leveraged upside opportunity
- Tradr 2X Long CRWV ETF (⬆️ 18.52%): GPU cloud computing demand drives sustained leveraged interest
- Direxion LLY Bear 1X (⬆️ 14.30%): Eli Lilly weakness benefits inverse pharmaceutical positioning strategies
- Defiance 2X Long NVO ETF (⬆️ 14.29%): Novo Nordisk recovery attracts leveraged diabetes/obesity drug exposure
ETF Losers: - Direxion LLY Bull 2X (⬇️ 28.40%): Eli Lilly leveraged positions crashed on pharmaceutical sector rotation concerns
- Defiance 2X Long LLY ETF (⬇️ 28.24%): Diabetes drug competition fears magnified through targeted leverage exposure
- Tradr 2X Long ASTS ETF (⬇️ 15.91%): AST SpaceMobile satellite communication weakness hits space technology leverage
- ProShares Ultra CRCL (⬇️ 15.76%): Circle Internet's financial weakness creates cryptocurrency infrastructure pain
- GraniteShares 2x Long CRWD ETF (⬇️ 10.62%): CrowdStrike cybersecurity concerns affect leveraged security positioning
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For more information and to verify the accuracy of the claims made in this email, please consult the following reliable sources: - Israel Approves Plan to Take Control of Gaza City — Reuters
- Buffeted by Trump Vote-Rigging Charges, India's Modi Starts to Push Back — Reuters
- US Should Impose Sanctions on Russia, Finland's Valtonen Says — Reuters
- US VP Vance Kicks Off UK Visit with Transatlantic Tensions High — Reuters
- Israeli Plan for Gaza Takeover Must Be Halted Immediately, UN Rights Chief Says — Reuters
- China Accuses Philippines of 'Playing with Fire' Over Taiwan — Reuters
- Indonesian Artists and Students Unfurl Manga Pirate Sign as Protest Symbol — Reuters
- Nearly 12,000 Children Under Five in Gaza Have Acute Malnutrition, Says WHO — Reuters
- Netherlands Rules Out Recognising Palestinian State for Now — Reuters
- Friday's Stock Movers: TWLO, TTWO, TTD and More — Seeking Alpha
- Oil Heads for Worst Run Since May — Yahoo Finance
- UK Competition Regulator Clears Boeing — Yahoo Finance
- Tesla Disbands Dojo Supercomputer Team — Yahoo Finance
- US Adds Surprise Gold Bar to Strategic Reserve — Yahoo Finance
- China's Car Sales Growth Slows — Yahoo Finance
- Intel CEO Dogged by Decades of China Ties — Yahoo Finance
- Trump Says Armenia and Azerbaijan to Sign Peace Deal Soon — Yahoo Finance
- Firefly Stock Loses Altitude After Sizzling Debut — Yahoo Finance
- S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Outlook — Seeking Alpha
- Rocket Lab Targets $145M–$155M Q3 Revenue While Accelerating Neutron and Space Systems — Seeking Alpha
- Archer Aviation Makes Two Acquisitions to Shift Toward Military Applications — Seeking Alpha
- Union Pacific Launches Train Service from LA to Chicago to Compete with Trucking — Seeking Alpha
- Intel CEO Reaffirms Commitment Amid Trump's Call for Resignation — Seeking Alpha
- Wall Street Bets on Rate Cuts as Trump Makes First Move to Reshape the Fed — Barron's
- Treasury Yields Edge Higher After Weak Auction Demand, Miran Fed Nomination — Barron's
- Stock Movers to Watch Today — Barron's
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Want to snag a $50 gift card? It's easy! Just open 5 Market Munchies emails by Friday, August 8 to enter. 📨 Entries close at 11:59 PM sharp, so don't miss out! The lucky winner will be randomly selected and notified via email with their prize.
Good luck! |
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