Editor's note: Regular readers know that Marc Chaikin expects stocks to move higher by the end of the year... However, you also know that this has been a volatile year so far. And we've seen plenty of uncertainty over what's next for the markets.
However, you also know that this has been a volatile year so far. And we've seen plenty of uncertainty over what's next for the markets.
Over at our corporate affiliate Stansberry Research, our friend Brett Eversole recently noticed an important signal regarding investor sentiment...
Today's essay from Brett has the details. It published in the September 23 edition of his free DailyWealth e-letter. And in it, Brett explains how this sentiment signal points to more upside ahead for stocks...
'Bearish' Mom-and-Pop Investors Signal Stocks Could Keep Soaring
By Brett Eversole, editor, Stansberry Research
The U.S. stock market is up 13% in 2025.
If the year ended today, that would be slightly higher than the long-term annual average. But 2025 has felt anything but "typical"...
We've seen all kinds of threats to the economy and markets... leading to dramatic price swings along the way. Some were more dramatic than others, depending on the headlines that day.
Investor attitudes have been up and down, too. Folks were fearful in April... then quickly turned greedy as the economic outlook improved.
Today, stocks are around new highs. So you'd expect investors to be giddy. But that's not the case...
Instead, mom-and-pop investors have turned "bearish" again. But as you'll see, the return of fear to the market is a surprisingly good sign for future returns.
MarketWise CEO Dr. David "Doc" Eifrig just sat down for an eye-opening interview... In it, he reveals a lucrative chart pattern that flashed ahead of Eli Lilly's nearly 180-fold rise, Gilead Sciences' more than 150-fold climb, and Vertex Pharmaceuticals' roughly 100-fold surge. This pattern is set to flash for the first time in years in October. In this urgent broadcast, Doc reveals the name and ticker symbol of the next stock he believes will experience this profitable phenomenon. Click here to view it now.
A controversial analyst whose work is followed by members of all 10 of the biggest investing firms in the world is now issuing a startling warning. Today, he says 50% of the 400-plus stocks that have doubled in 2025 look due for a CRASH, according to his system. In his latest investing briefing, he even names TWO of America's most popular stocks that could suffer the most. Until tomorrow, get their names and tickers right here.
The Wall of Worry Is a Good Sign for This Bull Market
As the Wall Street saying goes, "Bull markets climb a Wall of Worry."
It doesn't matter how well things are going... Investors are always looking for a reason to sell.
As humans, we're wired to look for the next potential danger...
Bull markets survive in spite of that. Investors continue to expect the worst – all the way to the top.
Today, the Wall of Worry is back. We can see it through one of our favorite indicators, the American Association of Individual Investors ("AAII") Investor Sentiment Survey.
This weekly survey asks regular mom-and-pop investors what they expect going forward. Specifically, it asks whether they're "bullish," "bearish," or "neutral" on stocks over the next six months.
Today, we're focusing on times when more folks are "bearish" than "bullish." To see that, we simply take the "bullish" reading and subtract the "bearish" reading. If that figure is negative, the bears are winning.
For each of the past seven weeks, we've seen more bears than bulls...
This might not seem so extreme at a glance. After all, the most "bearish" level we've seen in recent weeks is nothing compared with the lows from earlier this year... or the depths of the 2022 bear market.
Despite that, it's significant to see more bears than bulls for seven straight weeks. History shows it can make a difference to your returns...
We've seen this 27 other times since the data begins in 1987. That's about once every year and a half.
And these setups were good opportunities to buy...
Since 1987, stocks have returned 8.9% a year. So if the year ended today, 2025 would outperform that typical annual return. But of course, you can do much better than "typical" in certain setups.
Today is one of those times. Similar instances led to 4.1% gains in three months, 7.6% gains in six months, and 13.4% gains over a year.
In all cases, that's impressive outperformance. And stocks were higher a year later 88% of the time.
This is an important lesson about how bull markets work. Our psychology makes us always look for the next problem... But booms carry on anyway.
That's why I recommend you stick with the trend when making investment decisions...
Right now, the trend is up. And according to history, we can expect the recent stock rally to continue.
Good investing,
Brett Eversole Editor's note: For regular insights from Brett and his Stansberry colleagues, you can sign up to receive DailyWealth directly. Again, this e-letter is free to read. And it publishes each weekday morning that the markets are open.
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks are Bullish. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Information Technology
+2.6%
Utilities
+2.25%
Industrials
+0.73%
Energy
+0.39%
Health Care
-0.59%
Consumer Discretionary
-0.82%
Financial
-0.87%
Real Estate
-1.09%
Communication
-1.18%
Materials
-2.08%
Consumer Staples
-2.14%
* * * *
Industry Focus
Regional Banking Services
72
65
5
Over the past 6 months, the Regional Banking subsector (KRE) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -5.75%. However, its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Very Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #5 of 21 subsectors and has moved down 2 slots over the past week.
Top Stocks
ABCB
Ameris Bancorp
AX
Axos Financial, Inc.
ZION
Zions Bancorporation
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
XEL
+6.69%
INTC
+6.41%
CNC
+5.8%
MOS
+5.77%
CF
+5.18%
Losers
FCX
-16.95%
AXON
-10.23%
KKR
-6.32%
APO
-5.34%
SNPS
-4.53%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Earnings Surprises
CTAS Cintas Corporation
Q1
$1.20
Beat by $0.01
UEC Uranium Energy Corp.
Q4
$-0.07
Missed by $-0.03
* * * *
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