If you used anything Internet-related on Monday, you probably noticed some issues... In fact, you might not have been able to use some websites at all.
This Massive Stock Spiked When Its Service Crashed
By Ethan Goldman, junior analyst, Chaikin Analytics
If you used anything Internet-related on Monday, you probably noticed some issues...
In fact, you might not have been able to use some websites at all.
Companies like Roblox (RBLX), Snap (SNAP), and even McDonald's (MCD) all saw disruptions. So did investment platforms like those from Robinhood Markets (HOOD) and Coinbase Global (COIN).
This was due to an Amazon Web Services ("AWS") outage. At AWS's U.S.-East-1 data-center cluster, an error that affected the Domain Name System ("DNS") started the problem.
You might have heard of the DNS. It's like a "phonebook of the Internet."
The DNS lists text-based website links and the numerical IP addresses that point to them.
The exact technicals behind the AWS outage are a bit complicated. But in short, the problem affected apps and websites that millions of people use across the globe.
And given the scale of the outage, you probably would have expected it to hit Amazon's (AMZN) stock hard.
So today, let's take a closer look at AWS – and what happened with AMZN shares...
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Amazon's Stock Didn't React How You Might Have Expected
Keep in mind that in its most recent quarter, Amazon brought in nearly $31 billion in sales from its AWS business. That represented about 18% of the company's total sales that quarter.
But there's a bigger picture here...
Of the existing cloud market, AWS has the largest market share.
As of the second quarter, AWS holds 30% of the cloud infrastructure market. With a 20% share, Microsoft's (MSFT) Azure is the runner-up. And Alphabet's (GOOGL) Google Cloud is in third place with 13%.
So, maybe you'd expect that a massive outage in the leader of cloud services would tank that company's stock.
But that isn't what happened...
In fact, Amazon's stock rose nearly 2% on Monday. The next day, it jumped by nearly 3%.
This wouldn't be impressive if Amazon's stock wasn't already struggling. But on October 17 – the last trading day before the AWS outage struck – Amazon was down about 8% over the prior month.
So, why did Amazon's stock jump?
Think of it like this...
We don't know exactly how many products we use are cloud-based. So it's hard to picture what 30% of them look like.
And even then, we don't really think about the cloud when we're using an app or a website. We just open an app or access a website on our smartphone or computer without giving a second thought about what makes it work.
When just one company's app or website randomly doesn't work, it might not seem like a big deal.
But when the problem cuts across major businesses like Roblox, Snap (which owns the app Snapchat), McDonald's, Robinhood, Coinbase, and hundreds more... well, that's a different story.
Folks realize that many of their favorite apps – and even investments – depend on AWS. So the pop in Amazon's stock makes more sense.
But before you rush out and buy Amazon's stock, let's see what the Power Gauge says...
Our System Is Still Cautious on Amazon Right Now
Right now, Amazon gets a "neutral+" rating in the Power Gauge. And it has spent the past month in "neutral" territory.
Over most of that span, Amazon has suffered from negative Chaikin Money Flow. That means the so-called "smart money" on Wall Street hasn't been buying the stock.
Meanwhile, Amazon's relative strength versus the market has also been weak over the past month.
It's possible that the aftermath of the AWS outage could send Amazon into positive territory in the Power Gauge. But our system still sees some technical weakness "under the hood." I would want to see the Power Gauge turn "bullish" before buying the stock.
In the meantime, remember that our digital world is more connected than most folks think. If one link of the chain fails... others can, too.
One company can support hundreds – or even thousands – of others. And if one like AWS fails... the investments it holds up might also fail.
Good investing,
Ethan Goldman
Market View
Major Indexes and Notable Sectors
# Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish
Dow 30
-0.73%
7
18
5
S&P 500
-0.52%
116
263
124
Nasdaq
-0.96%
33
48
19
Small Caps
-1.48%
510
1038
367
Bonds
+0.07%
Energy
+1.28%
0
0
0
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks remain somewhat more Bullish than Large Cap stocks. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Health Care
+2.38%
Energy
+1.71%
Real Estate
+1.53%
Consumer Discretionary
+1.11%
Consumer Staples
+0.64%
Information Technology
+0.42%
Communication
+0.21%
Industrials
+0.18%
Materials
-0.44%
Financial
-1.52%
Utilities
-2.69%
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
ISRG
+13.89%
AVY
+9.48%
HAL
+4.24%
SLB
+4.12%
BSX
+3.95%
Losers
LII
-10.19%
NFLX
-10.07%
PWR
-5.77%
ON
-5.72%
TXN
-5.6%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Earnings Surprises
LUV Southwest Airlines Co.
Q3
$0.11
Beat by $0.15
CCI Crown Castle Inc.
Q3
$0.64
Beat by $0.15
LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp.
Q3
$0.78
Beat by $0.16
VRT Vertiv Holdings Co
Q3
$1.24
Beat by $0.25
GEV GE Vernova Inc.
Q3
$1.42
Missed by $-0.32
* * * *
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