| Ripple Effect — November 3, 2025
The Hindenburg Omen signaled a crash last week, conveniently in time for Halloween:  Hindenburg Omen signals tend to cluster before a market crash. (Source: McClellan Market Report via X) The Hindenburg Omen is triggered when several conditions are met simultaneously, most notably the market being in an uptrend, a large number of stocks hitting both 52-week highs and 52-week lows on the same day, and fundamentals turning negative.
While the omen has a history of preceding major market crashes like 1987 and 2008, it also produces false signals and is considered more reliable when multiple signals appear in a short period.
“I wouldn’t sweat this one yet. One signal has about a 25% chance of being right,” notes our Portfolio Director Andrew Packer. “But we could see the market peak in the coming months and a selloff in 2026.”
Nevertheless, this follows our general guidance for today’s markets – take some profits off the table now. Or, as our friend Bill Bonner likes to quip, “Panic now and avoid the rush.”
~ Addison | 
Under the surface of the U.S. financial system…
One of the biggest stock market events in 25 years is rapidly unfolding…
The economist who predicted the 2008 Financial Crisis says it will be: "The Biggest Crash of Our Lifetime."
Starting November 19th — your favorite tech stocks like Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Google, and hundreds more could come crashing down… 
| P.S. This week on Grey Swan Live! we’ll be joined by bestselling author Harry Dent on the cross-section between AI, shifting generational demographics and a shocking market forecast. More details to come…
Feel free to send your leading questions for Harry to feedback@greyswanfraternity.com.
How did we get here? Find out in these riveting reads: Demise of the Dollar, Financial Reckoning Day, and Empire of Debt — all three books are now available in their third post-pandemic editions. You might enjoy one or all three. 
(Or… simply pre-order Empire of Debt: We Came, We Saw, We Borrowed, now available at Amazon and Barnes & Noble or if you prefer one of these sites: Bookshop.org, Books-A-Million or Target.)
Please send your comments, reactions, opprobrium, vitriol and praise to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com |
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