The market sold off yesterday.
I went live and placed the same trade I've been using for eight years.
Zero losses. 98% success rate. Works in any market condition.
I built it on camera, showed my real P&L from 2024, and explained why volatility makes this setup even better.
👉 See the full replay
Don here...
The market ran 300 points on the NQ without pulling back once.
Not to back test a level. Not to let anyone in who missed the launch. Just straight buying from 25,500 all the way to 26,800.
Tony Rago walked through exactly what this type of price action creates. And why it sets up the violent reversals nobody sees coming.
When markets move this way, they build air pockets underneath. There's no support structure. No levels where buyers stepped in and proved themselves. Just empty space that gets filled dramatically when sentiment finally shifts.
In today's free session replay, you'll discover:
- Why the 25,500 level that launched the entire rally has a mathematical basis most traders never see. Tony explained his hourly midband concept and how it represents the 20-day moving average from a longer timeframe. When price tests this level and holds, the probability of continuation jumps dramatically. This isn't opinion. It's structural math.
- The opening range pattern that left everyone at the station. Traditional playbook says price breaks out, pulls back to test the range, then continues. Today skipped that entirely. The two-minute opening range never got retested. If you waited for the pullback, you missed 300 points.
- What happens when advance/decline breadth goes negative during a bullish breakout. Usually breadth wins these battles. Weak internals with rising prices means the move fails. Today price ignored breadth completely and kept climbing. Understanding when the traditional signals break down separates profitable reads from missed opportunities.
- Why "too far, too fast" creates the conditions for dramatic reversals later. Tony showed the complete lack of back-and-fill structure. Price should test the 56 level and pull back to 50. Should test 50 and retest 33. Neither happened. This builds instability that eventually gets corrected violently.
- The performance chasing psychology that accelerates into year-end. Fund managers who missed the rally. Retail traders piling in on momentum. Everyone buying near all-time highs hoping the Santa rally continues. This is how tops form. Not with fear. With euphoria and FOMO.
The ATR told the complete story by session end. It compressed to single digits.
That's the market's way of saying the easy money got made. What remains requires precision entries and tight risk management.
Most traders don't recognize this shift. They keep trading the same size with the same strategies even though volatility died and edge evaporated.
Tony stopped trading when conditions changed. That discipline matters more than any entry technique.
The last hour could get "very squeezy" to the upside. Those were Tony's exact words. More performance chasing. More momentum buying. More people piling in at prices that offer no mathematical edge.
This is how rallies end. Not with selling. With everyone convinced the move will continue forever. With breadth diverging from price. With air pockets building underneath.
Tony's framework identifies these conditions before they matter. The levels. The structure. The mathematical probability shifts.
That's the difference between reacting to moves and anticipating them.
→ Watch the free session replay to understand the market structure behind one-way moves and why they create future instability
To your success,
Don Kaufman
Chief Market Strategist, TheoTRADE
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