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Thursday's Featured Article Peter Thiel Dumps NVIDIA and Slashes Tesla Stake—Is the AI Bubble About to Pop?Written by Chris Markoch. Published 11/20/2025. 
Key Points - Thiel Macro fully sold its $100M NVIDIA stake and cut Tesla by 76% in Q3.
- The moves come as concerns rise about an overheating AI-driven tech rally.
- Investors should assess valuations and risk tolerance before following Thiel’s lead.
Billionaire investor Peter Thiel's hedge fund, Thiel Macro LLC, reported two notable sales in its 13F filing for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. First, the fund sold its entire stake in NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) — roughly 537,742 shares valued at about $100 million at the time of the filing. The world's wealthiest individuals are making huge moves with their money.
Warren Buffett just liquidated billions of shares. Bill Gates sold 500,000 shares of Microsoft. Jeff Bezos filed to sell Amazon shares worth $4.8 billion.
What is going on? One multi-millionaire believes they are preparing for a catastrophic event. But not a crash, bank run, or recession. It's something we haven't see in America for more than a century. For the full story, click here. Thiel's hedge fund also trimmed its position in Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA). It was a substantial cut: the fund reduced the position by roughly 76%, shrinking the stake from $212 million at the end of the prior quarter to $74.4 million. Moves like this attract attention. Thiel may not carry the same public reverence as Warren Buffett, but the PayPal Inc. (NASDAQ: PYPL) and Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: PLTR) co-founder has accumulated considerable cachet with retail investors. Investors should consider why Thiel made these moves and whether they signal a broader rotation out of the technology sector. The Only Problem with Bubbles Is That They Burst Since the end of the last earnings season, talk of an AI bubble has grown louder. Early concerns focused on lofty valuations — analysts warned that conventional metrics like price-to-earnings (P/E) or price-to-sales (P/S) ratios may not fully capture these companies' intrinsic value. Thiel has repeatedly argued that the hype around AI is outpacing the financial value being created by individual companies. He has compared the current environment to the dot-com boom, when investors discovered that the internet's transformative effects would take years to materialize. From this perspective, investors should be cautious about overstating near-term financial returns from breakthrough technologies. Is that realization starting to happen with the AI boom? NVIDIA's latest earnings report suggests otherwise: the company beat on both the top and bottom lines and said demand for its Blackwell GPUs is "off the charts." That implies the rally in AI-related stocks such as NVDA and TSLA may have more room to run. If so, Thiel exited early. Conversely, if the AI bubble bursts, exiting early could prove prudent. Institutional Moves Signal Market Sentiment Shifts Retail investors' trades reflect sentiment, but they typically won't move megacap stocks like NVIDIA and Tesla. Shifts in those names usually require "big money" from institutional investors. In that context, Thiel Macro's $100 million sale of NVDA shares is meaningful. While not large enough by itself to drive a megacap's price, it does signal changing institutional sentiment toward the name — and potentially toward parts of the AI trade more broadly. Should Investors Follow Thiel's Lead? Thiel's activity is newsworthy, but it doesn't automatically mean individual investors should copy the move. The right action depends on each investor's time horizon, risk tolerance and thesis for owning the stock. Objectively, NVDA and similar names — including Thiel's former company Palantir — trade at premium valuations. As the adage goes, nobody ever got hurt taking a profit. That said, investors who did best through the dot‑com period were often those who stuck with high-quality companies through the downturn. NVIDIA and Tesla have both delivered generational returns for patient shareholders, and there may still be further growth ahead. For now, Thiel appears content to wait for a more attractive entry point. For retail investors, the key question is whether your investment thesis has changed. If it hasn't, short-term volatility may simply provide an opportunity to acquire high-quality tech names at more favorable valuations.
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