1. Sold Out Through 2026
Micron's production capacity is completely spoken for. Demand far exceeds supply, and customers are locking in orders years in advance.
That kind of visibility is rare in the semiconductor industry—and it provides a floor under revenue projections that most companies can only dream about.
2. Only Three Companies Can Do This
Here's the wild part. Only three companies in the entire world can manufacture HBM memory:
- Micron – Based in the United States
- SK Hynix – Based in South Korea
- Samsung – Based in South Korea
This isn't a competitive market with dozens of players fighting for scraps. It's an oligopoly with structurally limited supply and exploding demand.
3. Pricing Power Is Exploding
There's a massive memory shortage happening right now. Manufacturing HBM chips for AI requires far more factory capacity than regular memory chips. Even with factories running at full speed, production can't keep pace with demand.
The result:
- Memory prices jumped 20-25% just last quarter
- Server memory prices could double in 2026
- When customers are locking in chips years in advance, suppliers can charge almost whatever they want
That's textbook pricing power—and it flows straight to the bottom line.
4. The Numbers Are Staggering
Micron's recent financial performance isn't just good—it's exceptional:
- Last quarter revenue – $13.6 billion, up 56% year-over-year
- Last quarter earnings – Up 167%, nearly tripling profits
- Next quarter forecast – Revenue up 132%, earnings up 440%
- Full year 2026 earnings growth – Plus 284%, nearly quadrupling
- Projected earnings – $32 to $37 per share this fiscal year
This is hypergrowth territory, the kind of acceleration typically seen in early-stage tech companies—not established semiconductor manufacturers.
5. Absurdly Cheap Valuation
Despite all that growth, Micron trades at just 9x forward earnings.
For context:
- Average tech stock – 26x forward earnings
- Nvidia – 40x+ forward earnings
- Micron – 9x forward earnings
The stock is trading at roughly a third of what comparable growth companies cost. Either the market is sleeping on this name, or there's a disconnect that's going to correct—potentially violently to the upside.
6. Smart Money Is Paying Attention
Morgan Stanley recently ranked Micron as their number one semiconductor pick. When institutional research desks start pounding the table on a name trading at single-digit multiples with triple-digit earnings growth, retail investors should at least pay attention.
This is why we posted an Options idea for MU on Discord recently and issued a price thesis based on the setup...
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