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Today's Featured Article Darden Restaurants Has the Growth and Cash Flow to Hit New HighsWritten by Thomas Hughes. Originally Published: 3/20/2026. 
Key Points - Darden’s Q3 fiscal year 2026 results showed steady sales and comparable-sales growth, alongside an EPS beat on an adjusted basis.
- The company kept returning capital through dividends and buybacks, with repurchases continuing to reduce share count.
- Bahama Breeze-related charges weighed on reported results, but updated full-year guidance points to continued momentum into 2026.
- Special Report: Elon Musk already made me a "wealthy man"
Darden Restaurants (NYSE: DRI) stock could reach a new high this year: it's growing, generating cash flow, and returning capital to investors who are accumulating shares. That setup was reinforced in the company's Q3 fiscal year 2026 (FY2026) earnings report, which showed solid revenue growth, resilient comps, and an improved full-year outlook. The critical takeaway for 2026 is that multiple factors point to higher share prices — not just the company's quality — suggesting a new high is a reasonable baseline. Analysts' trends remain bullish, and institutions continue to accumulate as the company performs, drives cash flow, pays dividends, and buys back shares. The capital return is substantial. At recent prices, the stock yields about 2.94%, and distribution growth has been aggressive. Buybacks are equally meaningful: Q3 repurchases reduced share count by about 1.86% for the quarter and roughly 1.5% on average for the year. The pace is expected to continue in Q4 and into the next fiscal year. There is sufficient capital remaining under the current authorization for five to six quarters at the FY2026 pace, and an additional authorization is likely. Darden's Quality Shines Through Impairments and One-Offs The Wall Street Journal is already raising the alarm about a potential market crash, and Weiss Ratings research points to the first half of 2026 as a particularly rough stretch for certain holdings. Some of America's most popular stocks could take serious damage as a radical market shift plays out. Analysts at Weiss Ratings have identified five names you may want to remove from your portfolio before this unfolds. If any of these are in your portfolio, now is the time to review your positions. See the 5 stocks to avoid Darden had a solid Q3 despite one-offs and impairments tied to Bahama Breeze. Those charges stem from a review and turnaround that will effectively end the brand, but most Bahama Breeze locations will be converted to other restaurant formats. Meanwhile, the company's core brands, including Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse, continue to grow. The quarter produced $3.35 billion in revenue, up 5.9% year-over-year and slightly ahead of expectations. Strength was most evident at LongHorn, which grew comps by 7.2%, and in the Other category, which rose 3.9%. Systemwide, comparable sales in ongoing business increased a stronger-than-expected 4.2%, helped by a net gain of 31 stores, or 1.4%. Margin news was mixed. GAAP results appeared weaker than expected because of one-time items tied to the Bahama Breeze review and restaurant closures. On an adjusted basis (excluding those items), results were notably stronger and more in line with investor expectations, and comparisons should improve as the one-offs roll off. Guidance is another positive. Management raised its full-year outlook for revenue and earnings, with targets now modestly above consensus. The company expects about 9.5% topline growth for the year — including roughly 2% from an extra fiscal week — and adjusted EPS of $10.57 to $10.67, with the low end roughly in line with consensus.  Bullish Revisions Keep the Darden Restaurants Outlook Intact Analysts' response to Darden's results and updated guidance was cautiously optimistic. MarketBeat tracked no immediate rating changes, but several commentaries highlighted growth prospects, the Bahama Breeze actions, and operational headwinds such as weather-related impacts. The company recorded an estimated 100 basis points of impairment related to Winter Storm Fern, which had a meaningful effect on results. Of the 19 analysts MarketBeat tracks, the group rates the stock as a Moderate Buy with a 68% buy-side bias. The consensus price target implies roughly an 11% upside, and the revision trend is bullish, pointing toward the $260 range and potential fresh all-time highs. Institutional ownership is helping limit downside risk. Data show institutions hold nearly 90% of the shares and have been net buyers, with buying outpacing selling by about two-to-one on a trailing 12-month basis and an acceleration of purchases in Q1 2026. That provides a solid support base, making a sustained drop below the 150-day exponential moving average (EMA) less likely; a move to that level would probably attract buyers. Darden's price action slipped after the release, opening slightly below the 150-day EMA but quickly triggering a bullish response. The market recovered from the early low, confirming support at that critical level and setting the stage for further gains as the year progresses. Resistance near $210, $220, and $227 may cause short-term volatility but are not expected to cap longer-term upside. The key level is $220 — a sustained move above it would clear the baseline of a head-and-shoulders pattern and open the door to a more durable rally. |
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