In 1934, the government executed a legal maneuver that transferred billions in wealth overnight.
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Caesars Surges on Buyout Buzz. Should Investors Take the Bet?
Submitted by Jennifer Ryan Woods. Published: 3/17/2026.
Key Points
- Shares of Caesars Entertainment jumped nearly 20% after reports surfaced that billionaire Tilman Fertitta is in talks to acquire the company in a deal that could value the casino operator at about $7 billion, or roughly $34 per share.
- Investor sentiment had already started to improve following Caesars’ fourth-quarter earnings report, which beat revenue expectations and highlighted strength in the company’s digital segment, even though the company posted a wider-than-expected loss.
- Despite the recent rally, Caesars' stock remains far below its October 2021 peak near $120, as softer Las Vegas tourism, high debt of about $11.9 billion, and inconsistent earnings have weighed on the company.
- Special Report: Elon Musk's $1 Quadrillion AI IPO
In Las Vegas, there’s always a new bet to make, and lately investors are wagering on takeover speculation surrounding Caesars Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ: CZR). Reports say billionaire Tilman Fertitta is in talks to acquire the casino giant in a deal that could value the company at roughly $7 billion — about $34 per share.
With Caesars’ shares trading around $28 — roughly 20% below the reported buyout price — investors must decide whether to roll the dice and ride the momentum or wait for clearer signals before placing their bets.
Buyout Rumors Send Shares Higher
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👉 Unlock the ticker now and get it completely free.Rumors first surfaced in February when the Financial Times reported that Caesars was weighing interest from several potential bidders, including Fertitta Entertainment.
Fertitta already owns more than 10% of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (NASDAQ: WYNN), underscoring his growing influence in the casino industry. The Wall Street Journal later reported that Fertitta’s offer topped a previous all-cash $33-per-share bid from Carl Icahn’s firm; Caesars has not officially rejected that offer, the report said.
Shares of Caesars, which owns and manages more than 50 properties across the U.S., jumped nearly 20% on the takeover rumors and have continued to trend higher since then.
With shares still below the rumored deal price, the takeover buzz could leave room for further gains if negotiations progress. Even before the speculation began, the 12-month consensus price target of $33.65 already suggested upside. However, because much of the recent rally is tied to buyout chatter, the stock could pull back quickly if a deal does not materialize.
Fourth-Quarter Earnings Spark Fresh Optimism for Caesars Stock
Sentiment had already started to improve after Caesars’ Q4 2025 earnings report, released Feb. 17, which pleased Wall Street despite mixed results. Revenue of $2.92 billion rose 4.2% year over year and topped expectations by more than $22 million. On the bottom line, the company reported a loss of $1.23 per share, far wider than the 18-cent loss analysts had anticipated. The quarter marked the fourth consecutive quarter the company missed earnings estimates, and Caesars has reported a net loss in eight of the past nine quarters.
Management cited softness among leisure travelers, particularly midweek, and weather-related disruptions as factors that pressured recent results. The digital segment stood out, however, generating a record $85 million in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).
Looking ahead, the company expects net revenue growth and continued strength in its digital business. Caesars also anticipates lower capital spending and reduced cash interest expense, which it says will help generate stronger free cash flow to support share repurchases and further debt reduction.
Caesars still carries a sizable debt load of about $11.9 billion and has a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.17, compared with roughly 1.9 for rival MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM).
Recent Rally Follows Years of Declines Amid Softening Las Vegas Tourism
Although the earnings report was mixed, investors reacted positively. Shares rose more than 4% ahead of the release and jumped an additional 15% in the days following. The earnings, combined with takeover rumors the next week, helped push shares up roughly 55% in about a month.
Still, the current price around $28 per share is a far cry from October 2021, when the stock hit a peak of nearly $120 amid enthusiasm over the post-COVID travel surge and rapid growth in online sports betting. The stock later fell sharply as tourism slowed, and Caesars' market cap declined from roughly $25.5 billion to about $5.7 billion.
Competitors MGM and Wynn have fared better than Caesars over the last several years. While Caesars is down more than 72% over the last five years, Wynn is down roughly 26% and MGM less than 6%. Over the last year, Caesars is roughly flat, while MGM is up around 15% and Wynn more than 16%.
Analysts Still See Upside, But Short Sellers Remain Active
Despite the headwinds, analysts remain cautiously optimistic. The consensus rating is a Moderate Buy, comprising 12 Buy ratings, six Hold ratings, and one Sell. Although several analysts trimmed their targets after the earnings report, the consensus price — just under $34 — implies almost 20% upside from the current level.
At the same time, short interest has stayed elevated, with roughly 15% to 18% of the float sold short in recent months, reflecting some investors’ skepticism about the company’s outlook.
If takeover talks advance, Caesars' shares could move toward the rumored deal price. But without confirmation, the recent rally could prove fragile, leaving the stock vulnerable to sharp pullbacks — making patience a prudent approach for many investors.
3 Boring Infrastructure Stocks That Could Beat the Market in 2026
By Chris Markoch. Originally Published: 3/18/2026.
Key Points
- TC Energy offers stable, contract-backed cash flows and benefits from rising energy demand regardless of oil prices.
- Canadian National Railway’s coast-to-coast network and strong grain shipments support steady earnings and dividend growth.
- Canadian Pacific Kansas City’s rail network in North America, as well as its merger synergies, position it for long-term earnings expansion.
- Special Report: Elon Musk's $1 Quadrillion AI IPO
With AI enthusiasm, geopolitical conflict, and tariff uncertainty pulling markets in different directions, companies with predictable cash flows, durable infrastructure moats, and rising dividends may be among the best setups for 2026.
Investors may want to look north of the border and consider these three Canadian companies with steady (some might say boring) business models that could be well positioned in 2026. These stocks won't make headlines, but they might quietly make you money.
TC Energy: A Toll Booth on North America's Energy Network
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Both themes ultimately rely on energy, which is why TC Energy (NYSE: TRP) is worth considering. The Calgary-based company transports and delivers natural gas and crude oil through an extensive North American pipeline network.
Energy stocks were expected to perform well in 2026 before the conflict in Iran sent crude oil prices higher.
With oil prices likely to remain elevated for longer, it makes sense to own companies that provide the networks oil and gas depend on to move, regardless of spot-price swings.
TC Energy is a steady operator that has been in TradeSmith's Green Zone for nearly two years. One reason: the company generates 98% of its comparable EBITDA from rate-regulated or long-term take-or-pay contracts. In 2025, TC Energy placed $8.3 billion in new projects into service, and each project came in significantly under budget — a strength that may not be fully reflected in the stock, even though TRP is up more than 16% over the past 12 months.
Investing in TRP requires some conviction. Institutional ownership, while overall bullish over the last year, fell sharply in the past two quarters. Yet the stock has been resilient: in the three-month period ending March 17, TRP gained more than 18%.
Canadian National Railway: A Coast-to-Coast Freight Powerhouse
The next two Canadian picks are freight railways. First is Canadian National Railway (NYSE: CNI), the only railroad in North America that connects the Atlantic, Pacific and Gulf coasts. That creates a toll-booth effect for long-haul freight, similar in concept to what pipelines provide for energy.
Transportation stocks have sold off on a couple of occasions in 2026, but Canadian railways have shown relative resilience. That doesn't mean tariff risk is absent: in its most recent earnings report, the company disclosed roughly CAD $350 million (about $255 million) in revenue headwinds from tariffs and flat volumes for 2026. Still, Canadian National posted record grain shipments in the last two quarters.
Those developments likely helped institutional buying shift from bearish to bullish in the fourth quarter and support management's outlook for roughly 12% earnings growth.
Analysts' price targets have come down since the company's last earnings report, but as of March 17 CNI still carried a consensus price target north of $118 — about 16% upside. To help investors wait for that potential appreciation, the company recently raised its dividend by 3% and authorized a new share buyback program for up to 24 million shares.
A Cross-Border Rail Growth Story
Canadian Pacific Kansas City (NYSE: CP) is another rail stock to consider. It is the only single-line railroad linking Canada, the United States and Mexico — an advantage as supply-chain resilience becomes central to corporate strategy.
Canadian Pacific merged with Kansas City Southern in 2021 to form today's company. Investors may be underwhelmed by CP's 6.2% price gain over the past five years, but the merger story is still in its early innings and synergies are continuing to flow to the bottom line.
Like Canadian National, CP faces tariff uncertainty. The company is projecting a C$200 million (roughly $146 million U.S.) impact from tariffs over the next 12 months, according to its most recent report.
Valuation is one concern. Trading at about 25x earnings, CP carries a premium to the rail average. However, analysts forecast roughly 14% earnings growth over the next 12 months and maintain a consensus price target of $92, implying about 14% upside.
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