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This Week's Featured Article This Forgotten EV Stock Just Reported Strong EarningsReported by Jordan Chussler. Date Posted: 3/11/2026. 
Key Points - NIO achieved a historic financial milestone by reporting its first-ever quarterly net profit in Q4 2025.
- The company reported record-breaking delivery momentum with 72% year-over-year growth in Q4 alongside guidance for Q1 2026 that forecasts delivery growth of up to 97%.
- To capture more of the massive Chinese EV market, NIO is set to launch its flagship ES9 executive SUV in Q2 2026.
- Special Report: Elon Musk's $1 Quadrillion AI IPO
While BYD (OTCMKTS: BYDDF) and "Magnificent Seven" EV maker Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) vie for global electric vehicle (EV) dominance, an often-overlooked maker in the space reported earnings on March 10 that could mark the start of a comeback. NIO (NYSE: NIO), a pioneer in the premium EV market, designs, develops, and manufactures smart, high-performance electric vehicles. Founded in November 2014 and headquartered in Shanghai, the company focuses on integrating advanced electric propulsion, connectivity, and autonomous driving technologies into its platforms. San Francisco is the strangest city in America right now—you can hop into a self-driving car and be chauffeured by a robot, but out the window you see addicts slumped in doorways, open-air drug markets, the mentally ill screaming at the sky, and entire city blocks consumed by homeless encampments. It's ground-zero for the most disruptive technological forces of our age, and Erez lives in the Bay Area plugged into the capital, the connections, and the companies reshaping the world—the advancements in AI, blockchain, computing, and biosciences are unlike anything the world has seen before, and a tsunami of disruption is coming for everything all at once. During our most recent broadcast, we exposed what we're calling the most asymmetric opportunity of our careers: an overlooked financial company hiding a multi-billion-dollar blockchain asset Wall Street hasn't priced in—it's one of those rare situations Warren Buffett would describe as raining gold when all you have to do is step outside if you want to get rich. Watch the broadcast before the window closes now NIO's struggles have been well documented. The stock is down more than 92% from its January 2021 all-time high, and shares lost nearly 11% in the lead-up to the company's earnings call this year. But the stock jumped nearly 10% on Tuesday after NIO reported its first-ever quarterly net profit. Here's what current shareholders and prospective investors should know going forward. After Years of Waiting, NIO Finally Achieves Profitability When NIO released its full-year and Q4 earnings on March 10, the company beat consensus on both the top and bottom lines. Earnings per share (EPS) of $0.04 topped expectations for a $0.07 loss, and quarterly revenue of $4.95 billion exceeded forecasts of $4.77 billion. The EPS beat was only the second in the past 10 quarters. Analysts forecast NIO's earnings to grow by nearly 28% next year. In his earnings call comments, founder and CEO William Li said that during Q4 2025 NIO's vehicle margin exceeded 18%, attributing the improvement to ongoing cost optimization and other efficiencies. Li added that "the margin of other sales reached 11.9%, supported by the expanding scale and improving profitability…as our user base continues to grow." Both of those margin figures exceed the industry average for mainstream automakers, which typically operate between 7% and 10%. NIO reported robust volume momentum: Q4 deliveries reached 124,807 vehicles, a year-over-year increase of nearly 72%. Full-year deliveries totaled 326,028 vehicles, up about 47% year over year. Guidance for Q1 deliveries is 80,000 to 83,000 vehicles, implying 90% to 97% year-over-year growth. Management did flag emerging cost pressures related to vehicle memory, chips, and lithium carbonate that could weigh on margins in Q2, but they expect those impacts to be short-lived. Perhaps most importantly, NIO has posted positive cash flow for two consecutive quarters—a key indicator of financial health. At year-end, cash and cash equivalents stood at $6.67 billion. NIO Aims for a Bigger Slice of the Chinese EV Market's Pie While EV adoption in the United States has been slower than some expected, China remains the world's largest EV market by a wide margin. The country accounts for roughly 60% of global EV sales, and with more than 11 million EVs on its roads, China's market is larger than all other countries combined. Industry analysis firm Grand View Research notes that China's EV market—valued at more than $576 billion in 2024—is forecast to grow to over $2.45 trillion by the end of 2030, a compound annual growth rate of about 27.3% between 2025 and 2030. As of early 2026, NIO holds roughly 4.5% of China's EV market, a share driven by the company's notable growth in late 2025 that has placed it among the country's top 10 EV manufacturers. The planned launch of NIO's flagship ES9 executive SUV—slated for Q2 at the company's April 9 tech event—is expected to bolster 2026 deliveries and increase NIO's share in the premium large-vehicle segment. NIO also plans to debut three other new models this year to further strengthen its lineup. On the Q4 earnings call, management pointed to long-term investments in core technologies that are beginning to pay off, saying "key technologies such as the world's first automotive-grade 5-nanometer chip with smart driving, the full-domain vehicle operating system, and the SkyRide intelligent chassis have all achieved mass production." What Wall Street Thinks About NIO Among the 11 analysts currently covering NIO, the stock carries a consensus Hold rating, despite an average one-year price target of $6.83—implying nearly 26% potential upside from current levels. Current short interest is 7.13%—more than 147 million shares of the 2.29 billion shares outstanding—which is material but down significantly from a one-year peak. The shorted position, valued at about $728 million, is more than 44% lower than the $1.31 billion of shares shorted in September 2025. Institutional ownership remains below average at roughly 49%. Still, institutional buying has produced net inflows over the past 12 months—resulting in more than $530 million in net purchases, with periods where inflows outpaced outflows by as much as nearly $965 million. | 
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