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Further Reading from MarketBeat Media MercadoLibre Stock Is in Deep Pullback Territory: Time to Buy?Author: Ryan Hasson. Published: 3/30/2026. 
Key Points - MercadoLibre has fallen nearly 40% from its all-time high, whilst revenue surged 45% year over year to $8.8 billion in Q4.
- Despite the sharp drawdown, 19 analysts hold a consensus Moderate Buy rating with a price target implying nearly 67% upside.
- With the stock approaching its 200-day SMA on the weekly chart and its forward P/E compressing into the low 20s, MELI may be offering one of its most attractive entry points in recent years.
- Special Report: Elon's "Hidden" Company
MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI), often called the Amazon (NYSE: AMZN) of Latin America, may be nearing discount territory. The stock has fallen nearly 40% from its all-time high and is about 20% lower year to date. Market selloffs are uncomfortable, but they also create long-term buying opportunities in high-quality companies. With MELI's valuation compressing, sidelined investors may finally be getting the entry point they've been waiting for. A Dominant Force in Latin American E-Commerce MercadoLibre is the leading e-commerce and fintech platform in Latin America, connecting millions of buyers and sellers across 18 countries. Its core business is a large online marketplace for electronics, fashion, vehicles and more. But the company is more than a marketplace: it also offers digital payments, credit and insurance services to a rapidly growing and largely underserved middle class. That combination of e-commerce leadership and expanding financial services positions MercadoLibre as a key player in the region's economic development. A Company Still Very Much in Growth Mode There's a clear reason sentiment on MELI remains broadly bullish. The company has been growing sales and expanding its footprint across Latin America at an impressive pace. Throughout 2025 it repeatedly topped revenue estimates. Its most recent report, released on Feb. 24 for Q4 2025, did create some headline noise. MELI reported a 12.5% decline in quarterly profits, missing bottom-line expectations. The reason is important: management deliberately increased investments focused on long-term growth — issuing more credit cards (which raises provisions), expanding free-shipping initiatives, and ramping up its first-party direct-sales model. Those are growth investments, not signs of a deteriorating business, and management has made similar trade-offs before. The top-line metrics back that strategy. Revenue rose 45% year over year to $8.8 billion, above the $8.5 billion analyst consensus. The credit portfolio jumped 90% year over year to $12.5 billion, and total payment volume in the acquiring business grew roughly 40%. Analysts expect EPS to rise about 44% next year, from $43.96 to $63.13 per share. Sentiment Is Bullish as the Stock Enters Deep Pullback Territory Despite the sharp decline, Wall Street and institutions remain largely bullish. Based on 19 analyst ratings, MELI carries a consensus rating of Moderate Buy. The consensus price target implies nearly 70% upside from current levels — a sizable projection for a company with a market cap around $82 billion, and one that reflects conviction in the long-term opportunity. Institutional flows tell a similar story. Over the past 12 months, institutions purchased more than $20 billion of MELI stock while outflows totaled just under $15 billion. Insider selling has been minimal as well: only three insider sales were recorded in the prior 12 months, totaling about $2.3 million. That level of insider restraint during both last year's uptrend and the current drawdown is notable. The Chart Is Approaching a Key Level On the weekly timeframe, MELI remains in a broader uptrend and is approaching its 200-day simple moving average on the weekly chart — a level that has historically acted as support. If the stock begins to build a base here, it could mark the start of meaningful stabilization. The valuation picture is also becoming more attractive. With the forward price-to-earnings ratio now in the low 20s, MELI is trading at one of its more compelling entry points in recent years. For long-term investors waiting for an opportunity to participate in this Latin American e-commerce and fintech leader, the setup is becoming harder to ignore. |
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