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Tuesday's Bonus Article
As Tech Earnings Grow, This ETF Still Hasn't Caught UpAuthor: Jessica Mitacek. Date Posted: 3/26/2026. 
Key Points
- Despite strong earnings growth and record revenue driven by AI demand, the tech sector is down nearly 5% year-to-date, creating a disconnect between company health and share prices.
- The QQQM is trading in a tight range and approaching oversold territory, offering investors an entry point before tech stock prices catch up to their financial performances.
- While mega-cap Mag 7 stocks have struggled recently, QQQM’s exposure to steady performers in consumer staples and communication services has helped offset tech-sector volatility.
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Despite the tech sector’s struggles this year, the companies that make up that corner of the market continue to display strong financial health. Fueled by rising demand for artificial intelligence (AI), tech firms—especially the Magnificent Seven—have delivered strong earnings growth, record revenue and confident guidance from management across industries, from cloud computing and cybersecurity to fintech and semiconductors.
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Investors have been rotating out of tech since Q4 2025, yet analysts have continued to lift 2026 earnings forecasts, and Q1 results in many cases have comfortably beaten Wall Street expectations. Stock prices, however, have not kept pace with that earnings growth. The tech sector as a whole is down nearly 5% year-to-date (YTD), making it the fourth-worst performer among the S&P 500’s 11 sectors. On an individual basis the picture is starker. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), for example, is off more than 20% YTD—the worst showing among the Magnificent Seven—even though most of those stocks are negative in 2026. Tech is approaching oversold territory, which means that once a bottom forms and a reversal begins, shares could start closing the gap with underlying fundamentals. For investors, that makes exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the tech-heavy NASDAQ—such as the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (NASDAQ: QQQM)—an attractive way to position ahead of a potential rebound. Despite Earnings Growth, QQQM Has Been Mostly FlatReflecting its big-tech holdings, QQQM is down nearly 5% YTD. Despite a gain of more than 19% over the past year, the fund has traded in a narrow range since early September 2025. Many of the large names in QQQM have reported blowout earnings, but concerns about valuations or an AI bubble have repeatedly kept the market from rewarding those results. Investor sentiment, however, does not change income statements. Take NVIDIA—the largest holding in QQQM at a current weighting of 8.80%—which, despite a YTD loss of more than 7%, is showing no signs of slowing. Looking at the fund’s top five holdings, four companies delivered sizable quarterly earnings-per-share (EPS) growth, listed here by weighting:
The exception is Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), which reports Q1 earnings on April 28. It’s reasonable to argue that QQQM is merely consolidating before a breakout. Institutional activity supports that view: institutional selling ticked up by $1.84 billion in Q4 2025, but was outpaced by institutional buying of $3.09 billion as many professional investors took advantage of the sell-off. Outside of the Mag 7, QQQM Holds a Mix of Outperformers and UnderperformersThe YTD losses among mega-cap Magnificent Seven names have masked the strong performances of some smaller holdings in QQQM’s portfolio. Micron (NASDAQ: MU), QQQM’s 11th-largest holding at a 2.53% weighting, has been one of the fund’s top performers this year and continues to exceed investors’ expectations after a nearly 217% gain in 2025. Semiconductor-equipment maker Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT), with a 1.50% weighting, has also put in an impressive run this year after gaining 54% in 2025. Still, the ETF is dominated by a handful of very large tech names that have been lagging since Q4. In addition to the weakened Magnificent Seven, QQQM has been held back by underperformance from stocks such as Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR) and Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), both of which have notably trailed the S&P 500 this year. That said, the fund’s concentration in tech (nearly 47% of the portfolio) is balanced by meaningful exposure to other sectors that have held up better in 2026. Consumer staples represent more than 8% of the fund and are the fifth-best performer among S&P sectors this year. Retailers like Walmart (NYSE: WMT) and Costco (NASDAQ: COST) comprise 3.24% and 2.36% of QQQM’s portfolio, respectively, and have acted as defensive, high-quality contributors. Meanwhile, communication services make up about 14.6% of QQQM and consumer discretionary about 13.4%. So while investors await a tech rebound, the fund’s not-often-highlighted diversification provides built-in hedges that have helped offset losses from its largest positions. |
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