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Special Report
Defense Budget Expansion: 3 Mid-Cap Names in a Sweet SpotAuthored by Chris Markoch. Publication Date: 4/20/2026. 
Key Points
- A proposed surge in defense spending is accelerating demand for next-generation military technologies.
- Mid-cap defense companies offer growth potential as they gain contracts and visibility.
- Autonomous systems, cybersecurity, and shipbuilding are key themes driving long-term upside.
- Special Report: The Biggest IPO Ever: Claim Your Stake Today
In early April, the Trump administration proposed boosting defense spending to $1.5 trillion for 2027. It was the largest such request in decades and would represent a roughly 44% increase for the Pentagon. At first glance the proposal might seem tied to the Iran war, but the administration signaled its preference for a larger defense budget before that conflict began. The reason is both practical and strategic: the current military infrastructure is not ideally suited to the demands of future warfare. Preparing for that future will require more investment in next-generation shipbuilding and in autonomous defense solutions.
The mainstream explanation for the Iran airstrikes may not be the full story. Addison Wiggin, Founder of Grey Swan Investment Fraternity, says there's a deeper motive behind the bombing campaign that most coverage is ignoring.
If you're making investment decisions based on what you're hearing in the news, Wiggin argues you could be working with an incomplete picture. Read Addison Wiggin's full breakdown of the real Iran story
That is a key reason why defense and aerospace stocks have led the market higher in 2026, including big names like Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) and Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC). At the same time, mid-cap defense names with less visibility are being repriced and may offer compelling opportunities. Kratos Defense: A Pure Play on Autonomous Warfare Growth The push for unmanned, autonomous technologies in defense requires both offensive and defensive systems. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (NASDAQ: KTOS) operates on both fronts. On the defensive side, Kratos is one of the largest producers of counter-unmanned aerial systems (C-UAS). That market is projected to grow from roughly $6.64 billion in 2025 to about $20.31 billion by 2030, a compound annual growth rate near 25%. In March and April 2026, the company announced contracts totaling more than one-third of its fiscal 2025 revenue of $1.35 billion. On offense, Kratos’ XQ-58 Valkyrie has been adopted by the U.S. Marine Corps; continued procurements could help move Kratos closer to becoming a program of record for the Department of Defense. KTOS is down roughly 40% from its year-to-date high, with institutional selling having outpaced buying. Still, analysts are projecting about 38% earnings growth and have been raising price targets. That makes the recent pullback a more attractive entry point for a stock that remains up more than 100% over the past 12 months. Leidos: Software and Cybersecurity Powering Modern DefenseThe demand for offensive and defensive capabilities extends to software and services as well as hardware. Leidos (NYSE: LDOS) represents the software side of the modern defense ecosystem, focusing on government IT modernization, cybersecurity, engineering, analytics and mission-critical systems. In 2025, Leidos won a multi-year contract with the U.S. Transportation Security Administration, but the company's Q4 2025 earnings illustrated near-term headwinds. Revenue missed expectations in part because of a six-week government shutdown in 2025. Looking ahead, management has pointed to the Golden Dome project as a potential catalyst in 2026 and beyond. The company also plans to triple capital expenditures to $350 million, investments intended to expand production capacity and upgrade classified facilities. Those plans arrive while LDOS is about 20% below its YTD high amid concerns that advances in artificial intelligence could reshape cybersecurity demand. Some analysts have trimmed price targets, but the consensus price target for LDOS is $208.27, more than 30% above the stock’s mid-April price. Huntington Ingalls: Shipbuilding Strength Meets Next-Gen TechHuntington Ingalls (NYSE: HII) blends traditional shipbuilding expertise with next-generation technologies. That capability aligns with the America’s Maritime Action Plan (MAP), a broad initiative to modernize and expand U.S. shipbuilding capacity. Even before MAP, Huntington Ingalls was forecasting up to $50 billion in new government contracts over the next 24 months. For context, the company generated just over $12 billion in revenue in 2025. At the same time, Huntington Ingalls is growing its Mission Technologies segment — including AI, cyber defense and unmanned systems — which represented about a quarter of revenue in 2025 and is expected to expand. HII is the momentum pick of this group. The stock is up roughly 15% in 2026 and is trading slightly above its consensus price target of $383.22. Analysts have been raising price targets ahead of the company’s May 7 earnings report, suggesting there may be additional upside as institutional interest grows (see institutional ownership). |
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