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This Week's Exclusive Story
Is D-Wave the Latest Threat to Bitcoin?Written by Nathan Reiff. Date Posted: 4/7/2026. 
Key Points
- A new report from Google suggests that quantum computers may be able to render critical aspects of the security cryptography used in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies obsolete in just a few more years.
- The development could have major implications for pure-play quantum computing tech firms like D-Wave Quantum.
- Although D-Wave remains a risky play with massive short interest and a sharply declining share price, it could be positioned well to benefit from disruption to the blockchain and crypto spaces.
- Special Report: Elon’s “Hidden” Company
As Bitcoin trades sideways and remains well below its 2025 all-time high, quantum computing firms like D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE: QBTS) could become another source of downward pressure on the cryptocurrency market. A recent whitepaper from Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) warns that a so-called "Q-Day"—when quantum computers can break the cryptography underpinning the crypto ecosystem—may be approaching. That said, D-Wave has faced its own set of challenges recently, and its shares are down roughly 50% year to date. It's not immediately obvious how a threat to cryptocurrencies would reverse that trend. More than anything, though, the speculation around quantum's potential impact on crypto highlights how transformational the technology could be in the years ahead. A Move From Crypto to Quantum?
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Quantum computing threatens Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies because those systems rely on public/private key cryptography for security. Because of quantum computers' unique capabilities, they could potentially derive a private key—effectively breaking the security that protects a crypto wallet—in minutes. Because both crypto and quantum investing are highly speculative, some crypto investors might sell Bitcoin or other tokens if they conclude those systems are no longer secure and rotate into quantum stocks instead. D-Wave is a rare pure-play quantum company with notable operational growth prospects, making it a natural destination for that type of speculative capital. What Could Follow After a Quantum-Led Bitcoin DisruptionEven if quantum computers were to break the core cryptography behind Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies, that wouldn't necessarily spell the end of the crypto space. In fact, D-Wave is already positioning itself in post-quantum blockchain work: its Advantage2 system is being used in post-quantum security projects by Postquant Labs. Combined with D-Wave's dual focus on quantum annealing and gate-model technologies, the company could have an advantage if firms race to replace existing cryptocurrency infrastructure in the years ahead. That dual approach has driven customer interest, producing surging backlogs and a lucrative contract with a Fortune 100 company so far this year. Investors should also note that threats to encryption extend well beyond Bitcoin. Cryptography is critical to national security, so government agencies will be watching quantum advances closely. D-Wave may benefit from its long-standing government relationships—including partnerships with Davidson Technologies Inc. and Anduril Industries Inc. on defense applications. Fundamental Momentum, But Real Risks RemainDespite a near-tripling in full-year revenue year over year in 2025 and strong customer traction via new contracts, D-Wave remains a risky investment. Positive elements in its latest earnings report did not prevent a selloff, as investors worry the company's shares could continue to fall while it remains unprofitable. As a highly speculative stock that tests many investors' tolerance for valuation risk, the prospect of a major turnaround that sends QBTS shares higher may be tempting. Analysts still expect D-Wave's stock to rise above $36, implying roughly a 170% gain from current levels. Significant short interest in D-Wave also raises the possibility of a short squeeze if a strong positive catalyst emerges. A technological breakthrough that allowed D-Wave systems to crack the encryption protecting major cryptocurrencies could be the sort of catalyst that triggers a rapid rally. |
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