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Special Report 3 ETFs That Could Cushion Your Portfolio From War RiskReported by Nathan Reiff. First Published: 3/23/2026. 
Key Points - With oil prices rising and the market potentially poised for an accelerating selloff amid the Iran war, defensive ETFs can help to provide a multi-pronged hedge against turbulence.
- TAIL provides protection against downside risk in the S&P 500, while KMLM uses liquid futures contracts on commodities, currencies, and bond markets as a defense.
- FLTR's strategy involves short-duration, floating rate investment-grade corporate bonds to provide meaningful yield even in challenging inflationary environments.
- Special Report: Elon Musk: This Could Turn $100 into $100,000
Though oil prices have not yet climbed to the levels some analysts predicted, a sharp spike in the early days of the Iran war has already pushed pump prices higher and helped drive a 3.5% selloff in the S&P 500 over the past month. Many retail investors built portfolios assuming relatively calm conditions that favor traditional equities, so there is a risk that portfolios could be exposed if the geopolitical situation produces further market shocks. Fortunately, there are accessible exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that may help absorb some of that potential volatility. Investors who expect continued market turmoil if the war escalates may consider rebalancing to add one or more of the following funds, each designed to address different risks. A Tail Risk Hedge That Offers Protection When Equities Plunge SpaceX is already one of the most valuable private companies on Earth, and some analysts believe its valuation could reach over $1.5 trillion. But since SpaceX isn't publicly traded, most investors assume they have no way to invest—that assumption may be wrong. According to veteran investor Matt McCall, there's a little-known public investment vehicle that provides exposure to SpaceX and dozens of other private companies, and today shares trade for less than $30. Click here to see the full story First up is the Cambria Tail Risk ETF (BATS: TAIL), an actively managed fund with a relatively high expense ratio (0.59%) that reflects its structure. The fund aims to limit downside risk by combining out-of-the-money put options on the S&P with U.S. Treasurys for income potential. It acts like an insurance policy for an equities portfolio, typically gaining value during sharp broad-market selloffs. Year-to-date, the fund has outperformed the broader market, returning close to 3% while the S&P 500 is down about 3.4% over the same period, which may demonstrate how the strategy can pay off during turbulence. The Treasury component can also benefit when investors seek refuge in government debt, while offering income potential. TAIL currently pays a dividend yield of 2.1%. TAIL is not ideal as a buy-and-hold core holding for most portfolios, largely because of its higher expense ratio and the possibility that its strategy could be less effective if similar tail-hedge products proliferate. Still, its recent performance suggests it can provide meaningful protection during periods of extreme volatility. A Multi-Pronged Hedge Using Managed Futures The KraneShares Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF (NYSEARCA: KMLM) targets an index of 22 liquid futures contracts traded on U.S. and international exchanges, spanning commodities, currencies and bond markets. As an uncorrelated, managed-futures fund, it can help hedge risks across equities, bonds and commodities. KMLM has a notable track record, including 2022, when the S&P 500 and the U.S. Aggregate Bond Index both had sharply negative years but the ETF returned nearly 30%. With oil prices surging, inflation re-emerging and bonds challenged by interest-rate moves, 2026 could present a similarly volatile environment. KMLM also offers a dividend yield of 4.7%, which adds a passive-income component. Like TAIL, KMLM has outperformed year-to-date, returning about 7% so far in 2026. It may be less attractive as a long-term core position due to its higher expense ratio (0.90%) and weaker performance during extended periods of market calm, but it can be a useful tool during sustained uncertainty. Floating-Rate Bonds Provide Competitive Yields in Difficult Environments The VanEck Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF (NYSEARCA: FLTR) invests in investment-grade floating-rate notes that periodically reset with market rates. That structure results in competitive yields and very low duration risk, which can become a significant concern for fixed-rate bond investors when inflation and rates rise. With inflation pressures returning—helped by higher oil prices and rising shipping costs—fixed-rate bond funds face headwinds as rate expectations move higher. By contrast, FLTR's floating-rate holdings can convert inflationary pressure into rising income. With an expense ratio of 0.14% and a dividend yield of 4.9%, FLTR is the most conservative of the three funds discussed and may appeal to investors seeking lower-risk income during uncertainty. Each of these funds offers different potential benefits: TAIL for tail-risk protection, KMLM for unmanaged correlation and commodity/currency exposure, and FLTR for yield with low duration risk. Investors may consider using them in combination to create a multi-layered hedge against further market shocks arising from the war. |
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