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Today's Exclusive News Why It's Not Time to Give Up on the Gold Trade By Chris Markoch. Article Published: 3/28/2026. 
Key Points - Gold’s recent pullback reflects a stronger U.S. dollar and profit-taking, but long-term fundamentals still point to higher prices.
- The U.S. fiscal outlook, including a $42 trillion net deficit and rising Treasury yields, strengthens the case for gold as a hedge.
- Investors can gain exposure through GLD for direct price tracking, GDX for leveraged upside, or Newmont for income and stability.
- Special Report: Elon Musk already made me a "wealthy man"
What's going on with gold? After surging above $5,000, gold has pulled back roughly 20%. That kind of retracement isn't surprising after a strong run, but it does raise the question: why the drop? Conventional wisdom points to a stronger dollar — despite the U.S. having its own debt issues, it remains the best house in a bad global neighborhood, and much of the world's business is still denominated in dollars. Because the dollar and gold typically move in opposite directions, a stronger dollar helps explain at least part of the decline. It's also likely many speculators who jumped on the gold rally chose to take profits as prices peaked. Your electric bill is up 42% since 2019, and utilities requested $31 billion in rate hikes last year alone. The culprit: AI data centers consuming power at a scale the grid was never designed to handle. The last time a bottleneck like this formed, three overlooked infrastructure stocks surged 1,700%, 1,900%, and 900% before Wall Street caught on. One analyst has identified the next candidate - earlier in the cycle, smaller, and positioned at a chokepoint that even the largest players cannot build around. See the one infrastructure stock Wall Street is about to chase It's foolish to try to forecast exactly where gold will be next week, next month or years from now. Still, the trend for gold — and for many other basic materials — appears likely to be higher. That case is reinforced by a stark signal from the federal government. U.S. Debt Strengthens Gold's Long-Term Case In March 2026, the U.S. government published the Financial Report of the United States Government for fiscal year 2025, This annual Treasury report accounts for what the country owns and what it owes. This year it showed assets of about $6 trillion versus liabilities of nearly $48 trillion — a negative net worth of roughly $42 trillion, the largest such shortfall on record. You don't need to be an accountant to see that is problematic. The report is even more worrying because it doesn't include large "unfunded mandates" such as future Social Security obligations. Adding to the strain are higher yields on the 10-year Treasury note, which stood at about 4.34% as of March 25. While that level has been broadly similar for the past two years, an important difference today is that global investors haven't responded to crises by piling into U.S. Treasuries the way they have historically. Consider, too, that the United States is seeking an emergency $200 billion in funding for operations related to Iran. If the conflict drags on and that amount proves only a down payment, the Treasury could lack adequate revenue — which would likely lead to more money creation and higher inflation. Those dynamics are typically bullish for gold. Gold's Role Is Wealth Preservation, Not Growth One reason gold has retreated is that speculators have taken profits. That's their prerogative, and Warren Buffett was right when he called gold "just a metal." The primary reason to own gold is not growth but preserving wealth. Most gold owners would prefer not to need it. But as the U.S. government's own report suggests, the world is imperfect. Gold functions as insurance against that imperfect world. Gold has its detractors, but even Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) recently indicated investors could consider allocating up to 20% of a traditional portfolio to gold. You don't have to hold physical bullion to participate. Here are three compelling alternatives. GLD ETF: A Simple Way to Track Gold Prices The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSE: GLD) tracks the price of physical gold bullion stored in vaults, offering direct exposure without the hassles of personal storage. With a relatively low expense ratio of 0.40%, it provides liquidity and ease of integration into portfolios. GLD is suitable for conservative investors seeking a hedge against inflation and dollar weakness, especially given recent U.S. debt concerns. However, GLD represents "paper gold," so long-term holders should consider potential counterparty risks in extreme crises. GDX ETF: Leveraged Exposure to Gold's Upside If gold embarks on a sustained move higher, gold mining stocks often outperform the metal thanks to operational leverage. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) holds a diversified basket of major miners, amplifying gains when gold rises. Its 0.51% expense ratio offers broad sector exposure at a reasonable cost, making it attractive for investors seeking higher upside amid geopolitical or fiscal uncertainty. Newmont: Income and Stability in a Volatile Market Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM), the world's largest gold producer, provides direct equity exposure to a company with strong reserves and steady production. Trading at more attractive valuations following the gold pullback, Newmont benefits from cost efficiencies and a dividend yielding roughly 1%. It's a choice for investors looking to blend income with gold's safe-haven properties during uncertain fiscal times. | 
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