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More Reading from MarketBeat Media Conagra Stock Yields Nearly 9% After a 60% Decline—Time to Buy?Reported by Thomas Hughes. Posted: 4/2/2026. 
Key Points - Conagra is on track to return to growth and may effect the turnaround as early as the subsequent fiscal quarter.
- Cash flow is solid and signals safety for capital returns, including the high-yielding dividend.
- Institutions are scooping up this stock as it trades at deep-value levels.
- Special Report: Elon's "Hidden" Company
Down more than 60% from its highs, Conagra (NYSE: CAG) stock clearly carries risks. The forces that have weighed on sentiment may persist, and prices could move lower. Still, signs of a stabilizing business, healthy cash flow and an attractive valuation suggest now may be a good time to buy. While fiscal Q3 2026 results were mixed and guidance was cautious, the initial market reaction was not purely bearish: an early drop was followed by accelerated buying that confirmed support at a key price level. The level in question is the recent lows near $15 — a long-term trough not seen since 2009. That places the stock at deep-value levels relative to earnings. Conagra isn't growing in 2026, but it is generating enough cash flow to cover capital returns, and that has become a central market focus this year. After nearly five decades on Wall Street, Louis Navellier says a major currency shift is already underway - and the wealthiest Americans, including Musk, Zuckerberg, and Ellison, are quietly moving money out of dollars and into a different type of asset entirely. It's not bitcoin or any other crypto. Navellier has identified 7 companies he believes are positioned at the center of this trend - the last time he spotted a setup like this, Nvidia climbed as high as 10,000%. Watch Navellier's urgent briefing and get all 7 company names Technical signs of support include a price candle with a long lower wick, elevated trading volume, and bullish crossovers in the stochastic and MACD indicators. Taken together with the fundamental picture, these factors point to a Strong Buy and increase the odds of a price rebound in Q3. Conagra offers value on multiple fronts. At roughly a 9X price multiple, it trades well below the consumer staples sector average and its own long-term norms. The stock's 10-year average P/E is closer to 18X, with historical peaks in the 40X range, implying meaningful upside over time as earnings recover. With the share price depressed, the dividend yields nearly 9% as of early April. Investors should not expect an immediate hike, but an eventual increase is plausible and would be a catalyst for higher share prices. Buybacks are a potential limiting factor — they may slow until the company transitions back to sustained growth, currently expected in fiscal 2027.  Analysts reacted cautiously but generally viewed the results favorably. While headwinds remain, strength in core categories and solid free cash flow were interpreted as signs of financial health, which supports ongoing capital returns. No immediate price-target cuts were recorded after the release, so the bearish trend technically remains intact, but sentiment could shift in the coming quarters. Analysts also noted management's elevated inflation expectations, which help explain the conservative guidance and leave room for upside if costs stabilize. Institutional activity is consistent with a market bottom and potential stock rebound. Institutions own more than 80% of the shares and have been net buyers over the past year. Selling has occurred, but on a trailing 12-month basis and in Q1 it lagged buying by roughly half. The likeliest path is continued accumulation, which could accelerate as the year progresses and new earnings data arrive. Organic Strength Underpins the CAG Stock Price Bottom Conagra delivered a solid quarter despite headwinds and the effects of divestitures. Quarterly revenue was $2.79 billion, down 1.9% year-over-year. Divestitures accounted for 480 basis points (bps) of the decline, offset by 240 bps of organic growth. Organic growth was driven by a 1.9% increase in price/mix and a 0.5% increase in volume. By segment, the weakness was concentrated in Grocery (down more than 6%), while Refrigerated rose 1.6%, International 1.3% and Foodservice 1.8%. Guidance was the main sore spot. Management narrowed its revenue range and reduced its EPS outlook, but otherwise painted a constructive picture. The company expects the business to be roughly flat in Q4 while producing sufficient earnings to continue executing its strategy. Conagra is expected to return to growth the following quarter, and capital returns appear intact. The free cash flow outlook is particularly strong, with management projecting a conversion rate above 100%. The biggest strategic risk is intensifying private-label competition. Store brands offer lower-priced alternatives to Conagra's branded products, though they generally lack the name recognition of labels such as Birdseye, Banquet and Duncan Hines. Potential catalysts include the company's adoption of AI, which management says is helping unlock savings and efficiencies across the CAG operating environment. |
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