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A Battle-Tested (and Proven) Investment Strategy

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AN OXFORD CLUB PUBLICATION

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FREE REPORT: "Is the stock market about to split into two?"

In 2023, the market suffered a great divide between high-flying tech stocks, which are making investors money hand over fist... and everything else, which is lagging far behind. But is this year's "great divide" about to hit a huge turning point that could make you 5 to 10 times your money? Two Wall Street legends are now combining forces to make a shocking new prediction...

Claim a free copy of their brand-new special report before August 7.

Editor's Note: Today we're sharing an article from The Oxford Club's Chief Investment Strategist Alexander Green.

In it, he explains that there are limitless ways to lose money on stocks... but only a few methods that are battle-tested and proven to make money.

On August 7, Alex will sit down with the founder and CEO of Empire Financial Research, Whitney Tilson, to discuss one such method.

In fact, Alex believes this could be the biggest investment opportunity in over a decade.

The online event is entirely free to attend.

Simply save your spot by registering HERE.

I hope to see you there!

Register for the August 7 Event

- Rachel Gearhart, Associate Publisher

A Battle-Tested (and Proven) Investment Strategy

Alexander Green, Chief Investment Strategist, The Oxford Club

Alexander Green

Early in my career on Wall Street, I made an astonishing discovery: The overwhelming majority of my colleagues - bright, educated, experienced and articulate - didn't have the foggiest idea what they were talking about.

This only became obvious in retrospect, when I saw how their carefully constructed financial theories and investment forecasts turned to dust rather than generating any significant profits.

(You'd be surprised to learn how many investment "pros" lose a substantial percentage of their own money in the market each year.)

The truth is that there are limitless ways to take a beating in stocks - and only a few methods that work well over time.

These few methods are codified into more widely recognized investment principles.

I was fortunate to realize this early in my career, although it still stings to think about the chunk of change I lost nearly 40 years ago buying my own firm's "Strong Buy" recommendations.

However, things finally began to turn around for me the day I read Harry Browne's - sadly out of print though you can find a few used copies on Amazon - Why the Best-Laid Investment Plans Usually Go Wrong.

(I loved the title, but Harry, who ran for president twice on the Libertarian ticket, told me over dinner one night that he regretted the choice. "Too negative," his publisher told him.)

Browne argued that the odds are stacked against the typical investor, who is overwhelmed by Wall Street's technical jargon, market volatility and the business of money management. (Read the investment classic Where Are the Customers' Yachts? for details.)

There are exceptions, of course, but the nation's brokerage firms are filled with well-dressed, smart-sounding men and women spouting a lot of self-serving nonsense.

As Vanguard founder John Bogle once remarked, "It's amazing how difficult it is for a man to understand something if he's paid a small fortune not to understand it."

The overwhelming majority of economic theories, market forecasts, trading strategies, hot tips and surefire speculations never pan out.

Fortunately, we have the accumulated wisdom of history's greatest investors to guide us.

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I'm talking about people like Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch and John Templeton, individuals whose audited track records speak for themselves.

Even though these individuals used very different approaches, they agreed that in the end there is only one thing that dictates where a stock will go: earnings.

Earnings are the net profits of a business. They are what ultimately drive share prices.

I challenge you to find a single company that increased its earnings quarter after quarter, year after year, and the stock didn't tag along.

Conversely, try to identify a single company whose earnings declined quarter after quarter, year after year, and the stock advanced anyway. It just doesn't happen, even in a rip-roaring bull market.

The reason is simple. A share of stock is not a lottery ticket. It's part ownership of a business.

And just how much investors are willing to pay for those profits will determine what a company is worth in the market.

Although there are always bumps along the way, you'll find there is a near-perfect correlation between a company's growth in earnings per share and the movement of its stock from quarter to quarter and year to year.

So forget all the technical mumbo jumbo about market breadth, trading volume, put-call ratios, short interest, mutual fund inflows, advance/decline numbers and other market trivia.

And instead remember that share prices follow earnings. Period.

Stamp that on your forehead - act on it - and you'll be using the one tried-and-true investment discipline that always pays off in the end.

Despite economic turbulence and volatility in the markets, there are plenty of companies in technology, e-commerce, food, pharmaceuticals, medical devices, healthcare services, defense contracting, gold mining and other recession-resistant industries that are currently making money hand over fist.

Those companies are outperforming. And they're likely to keep outperforming in the weeks and months ahead.

So this is the time to weed out the winners from the losers.

I believe a historic convergence of two rare economic events has begun... and could set in motion the biggest investment opportunity in over a decade.

And I'm not alone in thinking that...

Empire Financial Research founder and CEO Whitney Tilson has also spotted this trend unfolding.

Essentially, the market is splitting in two. What does this mean for your portfolio?

RSVP here to find out on August 7.

Good investing,

Alex

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