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Cruising Time for Royal Caribbean

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NOV 28, 2023
   
SCOTT WELSH’S TICKER TALES
RCL Ready To Set Sail?
 

The market has been on a tear the past four weeks.

Why?

Because the Fed may be done raising rates?

Why?

Because inflation appears to be under control.

And if inflation is under control, what does that mean?

More spending from consumers. 

And more trips on cruises.

Royal Caribbean (RCL) has been showing a lot of strength lately, and now it’s nearing a breakout point:

 
 

A surge above $110.30 could lead to a big run.

We’ll keep it on our radar.

— Scott Welsh
P.S. As a reminder, these plays are based on my longer-term Weinstein Stage Analysis method. The charts above use weekly candles and a 30 week simple moving average. For details on this method, see my explanation on this Ask The Pros episode starting at timestamp 20:45.
PROSPERITY PUB MARKET TALK
The Mighty American Shopper: What Black Friday Tells Us
 

Inflation? Tough times? You wouldn’t know it by looking at Black Friday numbers. They didn’t just do well; they knocked it out of the park. It's like American shoppers looked at inflation and said, "Nice try, but you're not stopping us."

This shopping spree is happening right when the Fed's trying to calm down those rising prices. They've been hiking up interest rates to cool things off, but recently they hit the pause button. Maybe they're thinking, "Hey, things might not be as shaky as we thought."

But don't get too comfy yet. The Fed's also been dropping hints that they might keep interest rates high for a while. They might be hedging. Or maybe they’re just realizing we’re not out of the woods yet, so it’s worth still keeping their guard up.

What's fascinating here is how strong consumer spending is, despite everything that’s happened with the economy in the past few years. It's not just about folks buying stuff; it's about showing that the economy still has some solid ground under it.

Of course, this spending spree might be fueled by savings from lockdown days or maybe even credit cards getting a workout. So, it's important to keep an eye on how this all unfolds, especially with the Fed playing this high-stakes game of balancing inflation and economic growth.

In a nutshell, American shoppers are proving they’ve got plenty of firepower left. But the journey ahead could still have a few bumps.

With the Fed watching over the economy like a hawk, the way we spend and save could really shape things up in the coming year.

— The Prosperity Pub Team
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