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This Week's Featured News Where's the Bottom, and When Will It Be Time to Sell D-Wave?Reported by Nathan Reiff. Date Posted: 3/23/2026. 
Key Points - D-Wave Quantum shares are down about 44% since the start of the year, though the company's RSI is near 30, suggesting it may be oversold.
- At the same time, the firm's price remains significantly elevated relative to its sales, which are still quite low in absolute terms.
- Investors must try to reconcile these concerns while also trying to ascertain how much farther shares may fall in the current selloff.
- Special Report: Elon Musk already made me a "wealthy man"
By many measures, quantum computing leader D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE: QBTS) has had an excellent start to 2026. Most strikingly, in January alone its bookings exceeded total bookings for all of 2025, driven primarily by a $10 million contract with a Fortune 100 company and a roughly $20 million system sale. Meanwhile, the company's cash reserves remain strong as D-Wave pursues a dual-approach strategy with multiple technological paths. Still, QBTS stock is not thriving: shares have fallen about 44% so far in 2026, despite the company's promising news. For current shareholders the obvious question is where the bottom might be; prospective buyers may wonder whether to wait for a deeper dip. While it's impossible to know precisely how much farther the selloff may go, a closer look at D-Wave's operating runway helps limit near-term dilution risk. Just How Rational Is the D-Wave Selloff? Although D-Wave has reported encouraging developments and solid results in its latest earnings report, there are rational explanations for the selloff. Revenue nearly tripled year-over-year in the most recent fiscal year, but in absolute terms sales remain small—under $25 million annually—especially for a company valued near $6 billion. Coupled with the massive rally through much of 2025, D-Wave's share price became significantly detached from its sales base. The company's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio peaked near 327 last year and, even after the recent decline, QBTS still trades at more than 237 times sales. That metric may help investors assess whether the pullback is justified. Determining the Bottom Is Tricky, But D-Wave's Cash Reserves Provide Important Insulation With a relative strength index (RSI) around 30, D-Wave shows signs of being oversold. Recent selling may have been overdone, but that alone doesn't prove the stock has reached its bottom—timing a precise low is typically impossible. Investors should take note of D-Wave's cash position, which was $885 million at the end of the last quarter. Based on current burn rates, that suggests at least three years of operating runway even without revenue growth and excluding any major acquisitions. That level of cash makes a drop to zero unlikely in the foreseeable future and provides meaningful insulation against continued selloff pressure. What Signs Might Investors Watch For to Sell? Because it's difficult to predict how much farther shares might fall—and given D-Wave still carries a Moderate Buy rating from Wall Street with roughly 132% upside—investors should monitor several potential red flags: - A sustained slowdown in bookings or a notable decline in new contracts.
- A significant acceleration in cash burn without a corresponding increase in revenue.
- Delays, technical setbacks, or integration issues with the company's core gate-model system, which D-Wave is developing alongside its annealing offerings.
- External pressures such as tariffs, supply-chain disruptions, or other geopolitical factors that could impair production or sales. Ultimately, investors must weigh competing views: the company may be oversold after a steep decline, yet it remains highly overvalued relative to current sales. That tension is likely to separate traders looking for a short-term reversal from long-term believers who expect D-Wave to play a leading role in the multi-decade race toward quantum computing dominance. |
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