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Exclusive Article MercadoLibre Stock Is in Deep Pullback Territory: Time to Buy?Written by Ryan Hasson. Article Posted: 3/30/2026. 
Key Points - MercadoLibre has fallen nearly 40% from its all-time high, whilst revenue surged 45% year over year to $8.8 billion in Q4.
- Despite the sharp drawdown, 19 analysts hold a consensus Moderate Buy rating with a price target implying nearly 67% upside.
- With the stock approaching its 200-day SMA on the weekly chart and its forward P/E compressing into the low 20s, MELI may be offering one of its most attractive entry points in recent years.
- Special Report: Elon's "Hidden" Company
MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI), often called the Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) of Latin America, may be entering discount territory. The stock has fallen nearly 40% from its all-time high and is down about 20% year to date. Market selloffs are uncomfortable but can create long-term buying opportunities in high-quality companies. With MELI's valuation compressing, sidelined investors may finally be getting the entry point they've been waiting for. A Dominant Force in Latin American E-Commerce MercadoLibre is the leading e-commerce and fintech platform in Latin America, connecting millions of buyers and sellers across 18 countries. Its core business is a vast online marketplace spanning electronics, fashion, vehicles and more. But the company is more than an e-commerce platform: it also provides digital payments, credit and insurance services, targeting the rapidly growing and largely underserved middle class across the region. That combination of marketplace dominance and financial-services expansion makes MercadoLibre a critical player in Latin America's broader economic development. A Company Still Very Much in Growth Mode There's a clear reason sentiment toward MELI remains broadly bullish. The company has been consistently growing sales and expanding its footprint across Latin America at an impressive pace, regularly topping revenue estimates each quarter. Its most recent report, released on Feb. 24 for Q4 2025, produced some headline noise: MELI reported a 12.5% decline in quarterly profits, missing expectations on the bottom line. The reason behind the miss matters. Management deliberately increased investments aimed at long-term growth, including issuing more credit cards (which raises provisions), expanding free shipping and ramping up its first-party, direct-sales model. These are growth investments, not signs of a deteriorating business, and management has made similar trade-offs before. The top-line numbers support that view. Revenue rose 45% year over year to $8.8 billion, comfortably above the $8.5 billion analyst consensus. The company's credit portfolio jumped 90% year over year to $12.5 billion, and total payment volume in the acquiring business grew roughly 40%. Analysts expect earnings to rise about 43.6% next year, from $43.96 to $63.13 per share. Sentiment Is Bullish as the Stock Enters a Deep Pullback Despite the sharp decline, Wall Street and institutions remain largely bullish. Based on 19 analyst ratings, MELI has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy. The consensus price target implies nearly 70% upside from current levels — a substantial projection for a company valued around $82 billion, and one that reflects confidence in the long-term opportunity. Institutional flows tell a similar story. Over the prior 12 months, institutions have purchased roughly $20 billion of MELI stock versus about $15 billion in outflows. Insider selling has been limited as well: only three insider sales were recorded over the past year, totaling about $2.3 million. That degree of insider restraint during a major uptrend and the current drawdown is notable. The Chart Is Approaching a Key Level On the weekly timeframe, MELI remains in a broader uptrend. The stock is approaching its 200-day simple moving average, a level that has historically acted as meaningful support. If the stock builds a base around this area, it could signal the start of stabilization. The valuation picture is also becoming more compelling. With the forward price-to-earnings ratio now in the low 20s, MELI is trading at one of its more attractive entry points in recent years. For long-term investors waiting to get involved with this Latin American e-commerce leader, the setup is becoming harder to ignore. |
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